Fair warning, 11.6k is in the cards. I believe that what a chance to be our final high for the 5th subwave of the 5th wave on the daily. I’ll post later why, can’t show it very well on mobile but the easy explanation is that on Bitmex, 11.6k is the 50% FIB of ATH to current bottom.
I just recently realized the 5-3-5 I’ve been suspecting from ATH has already completed. 5 down 20k/6k, 3 up 6k/11.7k, 5 down 11.7k/3k. That wave however, could just simply be an A wave, and if this is a B wave as I indeed suspect, then we are looking at a 5-3-5 for B wave as well. That said, we are finalizing by my count a 5th subwave of a 5th wave. If that is indeed correct then that means the A subwave of the B primary is complete or very near complete. Then we have a substantial retrace to re-test bottom, and then and ONLY then will we find out if we are in a bull run or not. The way this looks on the daily and weekly, one way to gather an idea of whether this is a B wave rally or a new ATH forming is to watch for how violent the correction is and what fib retracement it stops on. B waves are violently fast, and if this IS simply a B wave forming then I’d expect a catastrophically fast correction downward for the B subwave. If this current rally is simply the A subwave of the upwards B, then the B subwave of B will be violent and the percentage lost will be upwards of 60-80%.
If my knowledge checks out, then we should not break below 5k at any point hereafter if we are in a bullrun. Any break below that and you can kiss the bull run hopes and dreams goodbye.
Please remember I am an amateur and these are only my thoughts.