If you ask me how sure I am about this? I would first say it's a wrong question to ask in the field of speculation. But hear this, this is as good as it can get considering the macrocycle environment we are in.
Will be waiting to load bags below 10k, because I am a long-term believer in bitcoin. Dollar regime shift is ongoing, be patient.
PS: Running flats are extremely rare, and so chances of this busting even lower is more likely.