Looking at this chart, I see strong bullish momentum indicated by both the price action and the RSI. The recent price surge shows a breakout above previous resistance levels, supported by the green moving average 50 EMA, which has crossed above the red moving average 200 EMA —a classic signal of bullish strength. The RSI has also broken out of its recent lows, moving up toward the 60-70 range, suggesting that the momentum behind this upward move is still strong, though slightly entering a more neutral zone, which often precedes consolidation or a pullback.
In terms of Fibonacci levels, the 1.618 extension target is positioned at around $77,840, which represents a possible next resistance and target level if this upward momentum continues. This level is often seen as a potential stopping point for strong moves, as it's a key Fibonacci extension that marks where price might meet resistance from profit-taking or hesitation by buyers.
Support and resistance levels are fairly clear. The current support sits near the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, around $72,165. Below that, the 0.618 level at approximately $71,020 and the 0.5 level at $70,215 provide additional layers of support. These levels may act as cushions if the price pulls back, allowing for potential consolidation before a further move upward. Meanwhile, resistance is evident around the 1.272 extension level at $75,480, just below the 1.618 target. These levels indicate where the price might encounter selling pressure.
For possible scenarios, I see two primary paths. In the bullish scenario, if the current upward momentum continues, I anticipate the price will test the 1.272 level at $75,480. If it breaks through, we could see a continued move toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target around $77,840. This would align with the strong momentum observed, suggesting that buyers are still in control. Alternatively, if the price consolidates around the current range, it might retest support around $72,165 or even dip to the 0.618 level at $71,020. This consolidation would give the market time to regain strength for a possible breakout toward the 1.618 target in the medium term.
Given the bullish signals from the moving averages and the strong RSI, I believe there is a good chance that the price will reach the 1.272 resistance level around $75,480. If it holds above this level, the momentum might carry it toward the 1.618 target of $77,840. However, if the price struggles to break through, a brief pullback to support levels is likely, which would set up the market for another attempt at these higher targets.
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