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Bitcoin
Long

Stand pat!

By BTC-XLM
Hey guys and girls,

Here is an updated chart from my (Nov 12, 2023) post

Target = $ 41500


As you can see, this is only half of the battle!

Further targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k


Appendix:

Structure: 5-3-5 (Inverted)

Bitcoin halving countdown: 49 Days

Technical Section:

Wave 5 has two different relationships:

1- If wave 3 is less than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> the 5th Wave overextends itself.

2- If Wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 -----> Wave 5 = 100% , 161.8% or 262% of wave 1

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Halving countdown: 48 days

(as our countdown to number 1 continues) check this out:

Dec 29, 2022 (BTC= $ 16356) Comment:

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* Just to clarify

Can Bitcoin reach $ 100k?

The answer may be a "maybe!".
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Inverse Head and Shoulders

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Will it be ready?
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Targets: $ 74k, $ 84k, and $ 100k


Jun 13, 2023:

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What is going on?


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Today is a whole new day


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Update

BTC is completing the third wave of the second leg of a three-wave decline.

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There is something that you should know

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and then

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Plan B (worst-case)

BTC is completing the Fifth wave of the Third leg of a three-wave decline.

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good luck
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Forget everything else

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I am not selling
I am so bullish on bitcoin

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Update

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***

What we don't see, but will see

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18 Mar - 19 Apr

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Update

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Update

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its so absurd

doesn't deserve a comment

19 Mar 2024
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Final thoughts!


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Update (Wave XX > 85.4% of wave W )!

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we will see

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Halving Countdown : 28 days

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When in doubt, zoom out

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Superposition Principle ( Bull flag pattern + Second Try + 26 Days )

What to expect next?

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Watch out!

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Update (in support of the Bullish view ..)

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Update

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$ 70k

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Technical Section:

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Bitcoin = Untraceable digital cash

Good luck everyone
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BIG MISTAKE ;)

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Update

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Further targets: $ 84k, and $ 100k

We will see!
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Time is running out !

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Bitcoin's new ATH; 14 Mar 2024 ---> $ 73777

There is a different game plan

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You are clearly wrong (there is a different game plan!)


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There are two sides to every trade


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nothing has changed

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Halving 3 (11 May 2020) --- > + 693%

Is it different this time?

We will see!

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The last bear

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;)

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if you want the truth ...

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good luck everyone
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I forgot to say ...

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Possible and probable

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Bulls are in control

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They're broke

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Can you count this?


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No comment !

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Bitcoin trading volumes

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What is a Bull Trap?!
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Vol = 5.429k

There is something seriously wrong

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Short-term:

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Don't try to catch a falling knife
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Update

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8 Apr 2024 18:15 (Final thoughts!)


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S&P500

It did

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Will the stock market crash in 2024?
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Update

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bulls are looking under every stone for a reason to be bullish
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I'm totally sure

good luck
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No one is sure of the outcome

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Now we need a reasonable retracement amount (Wave C)

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I thank you all

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Honestly, I was very confident :)

I thank you for your trust 👍
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buying opportunity 30%
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(Warren Buffett) Honesty is a very expensive gift, Don't expect it from cheap people


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Honesty is a very expensive gift

don't expect it from cheap people!

don't expect it from cheap people!

don't expect it from cheap people!

good luck
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BTC > $ 67600 ---> Bullish

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Blue or brown ?

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Surely we'll retest 70k again
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buying opportunity 10%
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brown!

buying opportunity 10%

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If you are looking to buy the low, this is the way to go

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I bought (50% + 10% +10% +10%)
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$ 61500, buying opportunity 10% :)
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the unwritten RULES :)
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No comment

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Wave C = Wave B

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Show is over for now!

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Target= 68k
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Don't panic
nothing has changed :)

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Calculation of Profit and Loss (Apr 8- Apr 16) :

(Apr 8) I sold bitcoin at $ 72350
(Apr 12- 13) I bought bitcoin at (avg) $ 64400

(72350/64400)= 112% --- > Profit = +12%
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;)

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New ATH incoming :)

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Altseason (22 Apr - 22 Aug)

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Bitcoin halving- In plain English

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works for me

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BTC- holding strong

RSI (daily timeframe) = 36

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Herd mentality

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it was inevitable :)

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BTC

RSI---> Oversold territory

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BTC --> +1.34%

Gold---> +0.67% (bought at $ 2300)

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Wave C = 123.6% of Wave A

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(US Economy) Tesla -8%

What's going on?!

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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a quick scan to get an eagle's eye view of the market (Conclusion)

what I expected (check the date)

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what actually happened (The orange path (Channel))

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For what reason?

Herd mentality!

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then, I said :

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and,

(after Fed rate decision (not even one minute later!))

it did !
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BTC- Update

Target 1 = 68K

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update (May 2 Comment)

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Bitcoin is knocking on the door to 74k (inverse head and shoulders)

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BTC- Update

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what I see

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Wave C

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BTC- Update (Buying opportunity)

We will see

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You made a horrible mistake

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"Grayscale" spelled backwards is "Nokia"

Good Luck
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vain and superficial

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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Don't let fake news fool you ;)

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The Bottom is a paradise for fools

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fools are about to get REKT
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FTX will return money ...

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BTC- the bottom is in

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BTC-Elliott Waves

I see two possibilities:

1- Wave C= 61.8% of wave A
2- Wave C= 100% of wave A

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Bears need to explain that Bull Flag. Bears have no chance, I see you so clear!

I trust myself

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Good Luck
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Who are these guys? these crazy crazy guys

Bear:

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it's him !

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BTC- Update: (May 11, Comment: I see two possibilities)

To the best of my understanding, I think you are going to have a life changing experience

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Beautiful Inverse H&S

Follow the right way !

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BTC- Elliott Waves

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BTC- Update:

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BTC - Update

Wave C > 0.618 of wave A --->

Target 1 = 69k
Target 2 = 71k

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Dear friend
You must be happy again
Beautiful friend
You must go ahead
My friend
You must be brave, cause you must go the way
Yes I said, the sun must shine again!
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Update - May 18, Comment

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BTC- Bull market

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BTC- Buying opportunity

Backdrop:

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BTC

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BTC- May 16- Comment- Elliott Waves

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***
Update:

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bye bye

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Awful nice! Use resistance as support

Go ahead

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

Works for me

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BTC- Update (Weekend consolidation)

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

works like a Swiss watch

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

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"this year" and "tonight"
Don't confuse these two
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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment )

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We will see
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BTC- nothing has changed

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BTC-Straight to 80k

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BTC- Ready to go?


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BTC-

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BTC- Moon mission

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BTC is about to go vertical

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BTC

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BTC- Update

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we will see

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It is an all-around bull market 👌


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Breakout Impending

outlook remains intact

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(outlook remains intact)
I stand behind what I am saying :)


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Beautiful Inverse H&S

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Yeah, it is an all-around bull market
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BTC- Update (May 16- Comment)

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$ 71589

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BTC- Double bottom (Bullish)

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BTC- Buying opportunity

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BTC- Ready to go?

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BTC- Target = $ 72k

We will see

***

What is going on?

1- The bears are bluffing, why? because they separate themselves from the SPX (SPX = 0.0% Neutral)

2- Gold = -3.37% (herd mentality)
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BTC- Elliott Waves- Regular Flat


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BTC- Yesterday's decline...

There is no need for panic


(07 Jun 2024) SPX 18:53

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BTC 18:53 (herd mentality)

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BTC- Update

Nothing has changed for Bitcoin

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Bitcoin is ready for a massive pump. the bull run is starting.


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BTC- Brokers, Market makers, Floor traders

They'll try ...

Target= $ 71001

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BTC- They'll try ...

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I am going on vacation
so long and goodbye
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Hi everyone :)
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BTC

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BTC- Revision 1

Jun 7,Comment: BTC- Elliott Waves- Regular Flat

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BTC- What I See

Short liquidation- Long liquidation

Who are these guys?

Brokers, Market makers, Floor traders, CZ, ...

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Trade valid

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Mt.Gox :

a huge seller
at $ 70k

let's do some math here

40+30+20+9.8+13+32+11=155.8k

20+9.8+13+32+11=85.8k

means buyers are taking control (but, the market is not showing it)

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BTC- Dynamic analysis (logarithmic scale)

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BTC-

Yeah, trust me, trust with an "U" "you ;)"

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BTC- Update

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Smart Trap

This is how this works

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Brilliant strategy: Run to failure :)

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BTC

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BTC

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BTC- Reactions and Rallies

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pressure from the Americans

SPX- 14 Jun 2024, 14:31, -0.42%

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BTC- 14 Jun 2024, 14:31 (herd mentality)

(American financial) markets in similar sectors (I mean: positive correlation!) usually move together

means that

neither bulls nor bears are in charge

so

Q- Who are these guys?

Answer:

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The first wave of the fifth wave


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3-5

Few Understand !

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3-3 X or 3-5 X ?

3-5 means nothing!

New ATH incoming. Looks pretty obvious
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Important levels

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doesn't mean anything else

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good luck
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BTC- Dynamic analysis (Jun 14, Comment- Update)

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(Update) Jun 14, Comment, Smart Trap

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BTC

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Now we are at point C

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SPX = +0.47% (young managers)

BTC = -2%, (old managers) lost like a child in a dream

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SPX----- > New ATH 5462

BTC----> -2%

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I still can't identify which order (group) of animals it belongs to
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BTC- As you know, the sources of good things can be bad (Panic selling--> bull run).


Panic selling means: Bears are out of the market right now,
means: the bull run is starting

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Sometimes doing nothing is the best. We will see

18 Jun 2024 ($ 65616)
BTC-XLM
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Who is important?

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and who is not?

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Vol= 2000 ---> you are nothing!
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Bear is just killing time

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BTC- major market move ahead


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BTC- Daily timeframe

MFI ---- > oversold
RSI ---- > oversold

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reads:

BTC is about to go vertical
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BTC

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BTC

+2.2%
$ 66400

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ETH

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ETC

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BTC- What is going on?

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BTC-

singer, actor, rapper ...

The last of the bears are novice traders :)

good luck
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BTC- low volume bottom


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BTC- Michael Saylor


stalking horse ---> buying level (MFI ---- > oversold, RSI ---- > oversold)


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bottom:

a- High volume (bearish) --- > bears are in control

b- Low volume (bullish) ----> means: he (the bear!) is on a buy program ! (phony waves)

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he is on a buy program!

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The tide is changing (Logical thinking is required !)

let's do some math here

as you can see

Bull whales have bought 407000 BTC

and

Bear whales have sold 632000 BTC

632000 - 407000 = 225000 BTC

means: they sold (225k BTC) more than they bought

as a result: sellers are drying up

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We will see
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they sold more than they bought = Bear whales are really weak!
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BTC- Bears are losing momentum

expect an explosive rally

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BTC/USD (BINANCE)

volume tends to diminish = sellers are losing momentum

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BTC

misshapen patterns, sometimes they will help, sometimes not


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expect an explosive rally

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good luck
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BTC- Sometimes doing nothing is the best
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BTC

Shorts Liquidation $35,004,423 (54%)

Longs Liquidation $29,955,139 (46%)

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Binance 24h

BTCUSDT REKT (Short - 58.21%)

ETHUSDT REKT (Short - 52.26%)


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BTC-Update

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BTC

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BTC- Elliott Waves (Update)

medium-term:

Wave 5 (larger degree)
(minor degree, Wave 2, Triple zigzag)

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Long- Term:
Wave 4 (larger degree)

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BTC- what I see

they disguise what they are doing

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BTC- Blue or Brown ?

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Money flow (ETH, BTC)

steady flow

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Can you count this?

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BTC-

Blue !

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BTC -Update


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BTC -Update

$ 63352

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BTC -Update


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BTC

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BTC -Update


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reads: 80k
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BTC -Update

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TSLA +10%
SPX +0.62%
NDQ +1%

and

BTC -3% strong manipulation

Sometimes doing nothing is the best

good luck
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BTC

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BTC- Why most traders fail

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BTC- buying opportunity


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Jun 29 Comment

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Jul 3

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Watchlist

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46000 BTC

Today is the day

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Mt. Gox (a French movie)

useless

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superficial

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good luck
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he has gone

1JbezDVd9VsK9o1Ga9UqLydeuEvhKLAPs6 Balance: 0 BTC 0 USD :) he has gone


Mt. Gox (a French movie)


32,499 #BTC (2,200,333,176 USD) transferred from #MtGox to unknown wallet
1 month 1 week ago (Tue, 28 May 2024 04:46:54 UTC)

unknown wallet = Balance: 0 BTC 0 USD :) he has gone

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He is bluffing

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Mt. Gox (Conclusion)

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BTC- Elliott Waves + what was going on in the market


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Vol = 47288 BTC

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Panic selling = panic buying

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BTC- I am holding

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good luck
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Jul 5, 2024 $ 54k

RSI = 24

MFI = 27

I am the biggest Bitcoin bull on here


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$ 55300

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Accumulation, Balance: 22,685 BTC , Pittsburgh, PA ;)

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BTC

$ 56480

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BTC - Update (daily timeframe)

-6.87% ---> -0.95% 👍
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BTC - Update 57k (bottom--- > +6.6%) 👍

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The German Federal Criminal Police Office (The German government) 41225 BTC

They are scalping (Profit from price change: -90,040,076.8 USD) :D

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Luna Foundation Guard (LFG)

Do Kwon
USTC, LUNC

Why did I stay bullish the whole time?

Binance-wallet
Balance: 15,272.4822328 BTC 864,151,115.77 USD ;)

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BTC- fail and get up, get up and go

57 k (+7%) it did

Target (+12%)

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never give up

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this is clear to me now
goes up, goes down but mostly up

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BTC
$ 58000 +8.65%

Target (+12%)

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Fears of Mt. Gox are greatly exaggerated

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***

BTC- Elliott Waves (Update)

Wave 5:

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press play ..


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Maximum selling pressure (after Bitcoin Halving!)

1 May 2024 ----> Vol = 81k (Binance BTCUSDT)

and

5 Jul 2024 ----> Vol = 81k (maximum selling pressure)

Is it accidental? No!

Why? (How volume analysis works ...)

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The German Federal Criminal Police Office (The German government) ---- ( 2024-07-06 19:15:46)----> BetVIP


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BTC- Update
(+9.34%)

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Update:

29 Feb 2024, Further targets: $ 74k (it did ($ 73777, 14 Mar 2024) , $ 84k, and $ 100k


Wave 5 ( $ 84k, and $ 100k)

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good luck
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BTC - Here's what happened

to be honest ...

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So

my first plan failed

What was plan B?

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I expected the worst
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BTC- Update


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(The German government) 41225 BTC -----> 23785 BTC



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Nobody can stop Bitcoin


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(The German government) 23785 BTC ------ > 26684 BTC

( 21:28:21 +2899 BTC)
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Wave 5

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good luck
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2899 BTC

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Update

(The German government) 26684 BTC ------ > 21252 BTC

(-3100 BTC & -3107 BTC)
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BTC- Update


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BTC- Update


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Update

(The German government) 21252 BTC ------ > 23962 BTC

+2710 BTC
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BTC- Update

$ 59470

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BTC- (Update- BKA)

How the German government loses more money ...

(went to cash at wrong time)

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Update

(The German government) 23962 BTC ------ > 17962 BTC

-6000 BTC
Comment
the good news is ...


BKA holds : 17962 BTC (holds $1.05 B worth of Bitcoin)


They are running out of Bitcoin to sell
Comment
the good news is ...


(The German government) 17962 BTC ------ > 12962 BTC

-5000 BTC
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Germany holds $760 m worth of Bitcoin (12962 BTC)
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The German Federal Criminal Police Office (The German government)

2024-07-04 43358 BTC -----> 2024-07-10 12962 BTC

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a BIG chip on their shoulder
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They are running out of Bitcoin to sell

The German government = deadwood
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Update

(The German government) 17962 BTC ------ > 4324 BTC ($ 248 M)
Comment
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Germany (BKA) holds $177 m worth of Bitcoin (3093 BTC)
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Germany (BKA) holds $ 0 worth of Bitcoin (0 BTC) 👍
Comment
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BTC- Update

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Past makes future ;)


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Decent support + Breakout

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Jul 5, Comment +12% , 60k

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It did

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Jul 8, Comment: BTC - Here's what happened (Update)


Why Bear's call on Bitcoin, which was wrong in almost every way, was still right

yes, they didn't know what was going on


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If you want the truth


CoinDesk (Jul 10, 2024) "irrational fears"


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Update

Target = $ 64400

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Update

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;)

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Our difference

(Jul 5, 2024) $ 54000 We don't react the same way


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BTC- Jul 7, Comment (Update)

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1,000,000,000 USDT minted at Tether Treasury
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ETH

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ETC

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Jul 14, Comment, (Update)


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BTC- Update

Target = $ 69k

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I don't care

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BTC- Are you new here?


Mt. GOX Bitcoin Repayment Plan (November 2021) :)

More than $8.5 billion in Bitcoin could be distributed in time (November 16, 2021 at 7:26 PM GMT)


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(MT. GOX, Mark Karpelés)

I can read you like a book

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update


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BTC-

+23% (12 Days)

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good luck
Comment
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BTC

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BTC ;)

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BTC- Update


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BTC- Update


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BTC- Update

$ 67286

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;)

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(Jul 5, 2024) $ 54000

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BTC- Update

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ETC

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ETH

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BTC- Watch out!

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:)

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nothing has changed ( ... had to be this way)

you know what I'm talking about, right? ;)


target: $ 84k
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Jul 16, Comment:

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Update:

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MT. GOX (dead wood)

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MT. GOX (In plain English)

Mark Karpelés is telling tall tales

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Mt. Gox reportedly found 200,000 bitcoins in old-format digital wallets ...

200,000 BTC or 500,000 BTC?

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500,000 BTC - 200,000 BTC = 0 BTC :))
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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update

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Money laundering

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What happened next?

***

don't don't don't
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ETH, ETC

(New ATH incoming)

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ETC

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Accumulation 16000 BTC (7,999 #BTC + 7,999 #BTC )


1- 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 7,999 #BTC (527,220,744 USD) transferred from #Coinbase to unknown new wallet (1GnL... uaP)

2024-07-23 18:43:22

2- 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 7,999 #BTC (527,220,744 USD) transferred from #Coinbase to unknown new wallet (16P... ky2UN)

2024-07-23 18:43:22
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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update


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BTC- Update

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BTC

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BTC- the bear is officially over ( $ 68471 > $ 68416 )


$ 68416

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$ 68471

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Binance- USDT

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BTC- Elliott Waves (Update)


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We will see!
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BTC- Few Understand


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Mt. Gox transfers $ 335 m in Bitcoin to Bitstamp

really? :)

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***

What happened next?

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Show is over for now!
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Money laundering

Mt. Gox

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I think he's an idiot


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BTC- Elliott Waves (Update)


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24 July- Mt. Gox transfers $ 335 m in Bitcoin to Bitstamp

***

26 July- 2237 BTC remain unspent
26 July- 890 BTC remain unspent

1978 BTC ---> Money laundering

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1978.99996448 BTC = 1979 BTC
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BTC- Fib 1

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BTC- Fib 1.23 (Target = $ 69800)

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ETC- Now or Never

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ETC- enough is enough

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BTC > $ 69800 ----> a new bull market (Target = $ 84k)


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BTC- Breakout impending!


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$ 68700

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Look out

Now see past history in front of you

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Trump- Bitcoin Conference

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Trump- Bitcoin Conference


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We will see
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1 million BTC = $ 68 billion

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BTC- Fib 1.23

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Why isn't Ethereum soaring higher?

Why isn't Ethereum Classic soaring higher?


Grayscale

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BTC- Update


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Jul 7, Comment:

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Update

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Jul 28, 2024

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What happened next?

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One in Four Americans Own Bitcoin

See You on 5 November
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Why should a support work?!!!
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BTC- Update

What is going on?

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BTC- Elliott Waves (Update)


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No comment!

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How will the Iran–Israel conflict impact Bitcoin?


Past makes future:

Ukraine war, February 24, 2022

What happened next?

+40%

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You are mistaken !

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You are mistaken my friend
Time will tell the tale
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US Government Bonds

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Bitcoin is the best investment ;)

good luck
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Bitcoinmagazine (Jun 27, 2024): Data shows the US government currently possesses around 214,000 Bitcoin worth over $13 billion


*****

This much I can say

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I was right ...
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BTC-

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if there is a war, the value of Dollar would go down

Buy Bitcoin
Buy Bitcoin
Buy Bitcoin
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Intel -30%

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if there is a war, ---> Stocks :)

Buy Bitcoin
Buy Bitcoin
Buy Bitcoin
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What is a price Ceiling? :)

Gold is approaching ...

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Buy Bitcoin ;)
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I will be unavailable until Aug 9, 2024
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Aug 9, 2024

$ 60320 ;)

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6 days ago, Comment

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Update:


high volume-low volume (Boiling frog)

It did (an expensive experience!)


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We are now preparing for a new high
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;)

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BTC

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Update:

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ETC (-0.3%) What I see

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good luck!
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don't don't
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medium-term:

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Long-term:

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BTC-

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Target:

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*****

Ton- Short

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BTC

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Ton- sell signal


This ain't good

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Bitcoin- Where do we go from here?


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I am patient
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BTC- MT. GOX

$9 billion repayment plan in July

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What happened next?!

**

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There is no question "in my mind" that
he is Mentally Sick
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Bitcoin- The illusion of understanding


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What we have, what we don't have (you can see, perhaps, why do I say this!)


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Follow the right way, right? ;)
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BTC- Update (Weekend consolidation)

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BTC- $ 57434

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I am tracking you ;)


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Update- Wave C (Ending diagonal ($ 56900))

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choppy market

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BTC- Update

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BTC- Update


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BTC- Will it be ready?

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that means there is pressure everywhere, and I mean everywhere,

your grandmother can launch it
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BTC- Update


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BTC- Herd mentality!

S&P, BTC, UKOIL, SILVER ...

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Update

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BTC- Update

wave C is a nearly perfect 1.23 extension of wave B

What now?

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we have to see!
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BTC- Long!

CMF :)

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+2736.42 BTC

this (strategy) can lean bullish

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BTC-

Tradingview: LondonCryptoClub; ** If Recession is Coming, Where Next for Bitcoin (BTC)? **

Dude, I like the way you think, BUT, for anyone looking at the future, the question is much more complex!


The question is : ** If Trump is Coming, Where Next for Bitcoin (BTC)? **



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good luck!


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BTC- Update


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BTC- Sep 14

The Fed - Meeting calendars, Sep 17-18 (Buy when you see this signal !)

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BTC- 3 days, time is running out


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BTC- Update!

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that is
how I am currently playing the market
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Buy Bitcoin

Why?

(2016-2024) the US economy is broken


Fill-in the blank

Gold goes up $1531 as Dollar falls to ...

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good luck ;)
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BTC- Update

Beautiful Inverse H&S ;)

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:)

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BTC- Update



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$ 63500

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Well done, everyone!
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BTC- Fundamental

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we will see
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