Bitcoin Hidden Bullish Divergence Post Halving: Hold or Buy
The Bitcoin halvening puts the price action of bitcoin on a four year cycle that so far has resulted in a higher high each cycle. Until that changes the best money to be made is by incorporation that periodicity into your trading plan and figuring out when to buy, sell, and hold.
In a bull market you are suppose to "buy the dip, and sell the rip." But not all dips are equal, a nd one thing that sets dips apart is divergence.
Divergence Primer
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
We clearly see that we have some hidden bullish divergence. We can also clearly see that the RSI is "oversold" just 65 days after the bitcoin halvening. Historically this is a great time to buy.
A look at the 2016-2017 bull market shows buying hidden bullish divergence and/or when the RSI got to over-sold on the daily chart was a outstandingly simple but profitable time to put in some buys. Those price levels were NEVER reached again on a retrace.
Without exaggeration and irony after this pull back bitcoin may never return to this price again, give or take a day or so for a base to be put in. At this point, the only reason I can see to sell bitcoin is to buy alts that look good or because you have some bills that you must needs pay to remain solvent. But of course, I am not a financial advisor and even if I was, I am not your financial advisor.
My best call in a long time has been my FTM trade. FTMBTC recently itself just had the RSI go to over-sold and it looks like price action is turning previous wedge resistance into support. I have currently moved up the risk curve and am in a small cap coin that is out of the top 100 in market cap. So far its been painful but in the long run I think the rotation will pay off.
In a bull market you are suppose to "buy the dip, and sell the rip." But not all dips are equal, a nd one thing that sets dips apart is divergence.
Divergence Primer
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
We clearly see that we have some hidden bullish divergence. We can also clearly see that the RSI is "oversold" just 65 days after the bitcoin halvening. Historically this is a great time to buy.
A look at the 2016-2017 bull market shows buying hidden bullish divergence and/or when the RSI got to over-sold on the daily chart was a outstandingly simple but profitable time to put in some buys. Those price levels were NEVER reached again on a retrace.
Without exaggeration and irony after this pull back bitcoin may never return to this price again, give or take a day or so for a base to be put in. At this point, the only reason I can see to sell bitcoin is to buy alts that look good or because you have some bills that you must needs pay to remain solvent. But of course, I am not a financial advisor and even if I was, I am not your financial advisor.
My best call in a long time has been my FTM trade. FTMBTC recently itself just had the RSI go to over-sold and it looks like price action is turning previous wedge resistance into support. I have currently moved up the risk curve and am in a small cap coin that is out of the top 100 in market cap. So far its been painful but in the long run I think the rotation will pay off.
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