Bitcoin
Long

bitcoin , 11march 2025.

134
This Bitcoin price chart displays a comprehensive technical analysis with various indicators, Fibonacci retracement levels, trend lines, and potential price targets. Here’s a detailed breakdown:

Key Observations
1. Price Action and Trend
• The chart shows Bitcoin’s price movement within a long-term ascending channel (marked by two blue trend lines).
• The price is currently trading at $80,290, having recently corrected from a higher peak.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
• Critical Fibonacci levels are marked:
• 0.236 (87,619)
• 0.382 (111,958)
• 0.5 (122,960)
• 0.618 (133,980)
• 0.786 (149,656)
• These levels act as potential support and resistance points. Currently, Bitcoin seems to be consolidating between the 0.236 and 0.382 levels.
3. Support and Resistance Zones
• Major Support Levels: $73,713, $62,797, $51,620
• Key Resistance Levels: $109,356, $111,662, $133,756
• Bitcoin’s current price structure suggests potential retests of lower support zones if the downward momentum persists.
4. Potential Price Targets
• The upper channel resistance targets around $140,000 to $150,000.
• Bullish breakout could aim for the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, approximately $169,625.
5. Indicators
• Moving Averages (Red, Green, Yellow lines) show long-term bullish momentum despite the recent pullback.
• Stochastic RSI (bottom panel) appears to be in the oversold region, hinting at potential upward momentum in the near term.
• RSI indicates a decline in momentum but remains in a neutral zone.
6. Volume Analysis
• Volume spikes during recent bullish moves suggest strong buying interest; however, current volume levels are declining, indicating potential consolidation before the next major move.
7. Pattern Analysis
• Bitcoin appears to have completed a rounded bottom pattern, which often signals a bullish continuation.
• The correction phase may stabilize around key Fibonacci levels before a potential breakout.

Outlook and Strategy
• Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds the $73,713 support zone and RSI shows upward momentum, a push towards $111,662 and higher resistance zones is possible.
• Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold the $73,713 zone may result in further declines toward $62,797 or $51,620.

Conclusion
• Current conditions favor a cautious bullish outlook with potential consolidation before a significant breakout.
• Keeping an eye on volume increases and RSI movements will provide clearer entry and exit signals.

this chart does suggest the formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic bearish reversal pattern in technical analysis. Let’s break it down step by step:

Head and Shoulders Pattern Analysis

A Head and Shoulders pattern is characterized by three peaks:
• Left Shoulder – A peak followed by a decline.
• Head – A higher peak followed by another decline.
• Right Shoulder – A peak similar to the left shoulder, followed by a breakdown.
• Neckline – A support line connecting the lows between the shoulders and the head.

Identifying the Pattern on the Chart
1. Left Shoulder:
• Occurred around mid-2024, where Bitcoin rallied and then pulled back.
2. Head:
• The peak formed in late 2024 to early 2025, marking the highest point in this pattern (near $110,000+).
3. Right Shoulder:
• The second peak was lower than the head, aligning around $95,000 - $100,000, forming the right shoulder.
4. Neckline:
• The neckline appears to be in the $73,713 - $76,313 range, aligning with key Fibonacci support levels.
5. Breakdown:
• Bitcoin’s price has currently fallen below the right shoulder zone and is testing the neckline support.

Potential Price Movement
• If Bitcoin breaks decisively below the neckline (around $73,713) with significant volume, this confirms the bearish Head and Shoulders pattern.
• The potential target price for the breakdown is calculated using the following formula:



Example Calculation:
• Head Peak = ~$110,000
• Neckline = ~$73,713
• Projected Target = $73,713 - (110,000 - 73,713)
• Projected Target = ~$37,426

Key Confirmation Factors

✅ Strong selling pressure with high volume at the neckline breakdown.
✅ RSI trending downward and confirming bearish momentum.
✅ Price rejection at resistance zones during recovery attempts.

Strategy Considerations
• Short Positions: Traders may consider shorting Bitcoin if the neckline breaks decisively, with stop-loss set just above the right shoulder zone.
• Long-term Investors: It’s essential to monitor volume and macroeconomic factors since Bitcoin has historically shown resilience in bullish trends.

Summary
• The Head and Shoulders pattern appears valid.
• The neckline at ~$73,713 is a critical support zone; losing this level could trigger a significant drop toward $40,000 - $50,000.
• A bullish reversal could occur if Bitcoin stabilizes above the neckline and reclaims resistance zones.


Disclaimer

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