A technical analysis of **BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. US Dollar)** on a **30-minute timeframe** using key technical tools such as **support/resistance levels**, **trendlines**, and visual annotations for price movements. ---
### 1. **Key Levels Highlighted** - **Blue Zone (Resistance Area around $102,300 - $102,570):** - Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, signaling a **strong supply zone** where sellers dominate. - Two prior rejections are marked with **yellow circles**, showing historical resistance.
- **Green Zone (Support Area around $98,956 - $99,318):** - This is a **key support zone** where the price bounced upward multiple times, highlighted by **blue circles**. - A failure to hold this support may push the price lower to test further downside levels.
- **Red Zone (Next Key Support around $94,700 - $96,215):** - Below the green zone lies this **critical demand zone**, where buyers may step in. A breakdown of this area would indicate **bearish continuation**.
- **Yellow Zone (Support Base near $93,720 - $94,229):** - This is the **lowest demand area** observed on this chart. It serves as a **last line of defense** before further downside.
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### 2. **Trendlines** - **Yellow Uptrend Line:** - The price is respecting this **ascending trendline**, suggesting an ongoing short-term uptrend. - A clear break below this line could indicate a shift to a bearish trend.
- **Red Downtrend Line:** - This short-term downtrend (descending resistance) intersects with the yellow trendline. - A breakout to the upside would indicate bullish momentum.
- **Black Trendline (Major Long-Term Support):** - This lower black line shows a **long-term uptrend**, acting as significant support in case of a larger correction.
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### 3. **Potential Scenarios** - **Bullish Scenario:** - Price retraces to the yellow uptrend line and bounces, breaking through the blue resistance zone (~$102,570). - This breakout could lead to further upside continuation.
- **Bearish Scenario:** - If price breaks the yellow uptrend line and fails to hold above the green support zone (~$98,956), it may drop to test the red zone (~$95,800). - Continued selling pressure could push the price to the yellow zone (~$94,229).
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### 4. **Market Behavior and Price Structure** - The repeated **rejections** from the blue resistance zone indicate strong selling pressure. - However, the **higher lows** formed along the yellow trendline show buying support, signaling a potential **triangle pattern** forming. - The breakout direction from this consolidation will likely determine the next significant move.
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### 5. **Key Points to Watch** - **Break and Retest:** - Watch for price action near the blue resistance or green support zones for a breakout or reversal signal. - **Volume Confirmation:** - A breakout with increasing volume would confirm a strong move. - **Trendline Interaction:** - Monitor the yellow ascending trendline. A breakdown below it would suggest weakness.
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In summary: - **Bullish bias** exists above the yellow uptrend line. - **Bearish risk** increases below the green zone. - Key breakout above **$102,570** or breakdown below **$98,956** will signal the next direction.
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