Bitcoin
Short

"The Institutional Ambush"

Updated
Alright, here’s what I’m seeing:

The tools I use just triggered a clear **pump and dump signal** on **USDT.D**. This isn’t random — it’s a **serious warning**. When **USDT.D spikes**, it means traders are rushing into stablecoins, and that signals Bitcoin is about to fall hard — and altcoins are going down with it. My **Plotter tool** confirms this, and **dark pools are manipulating** the market right now.

**What’s Likely to Happen:**

We’ll probably see a **sharp spike in price** — that’s the **pump** — which might fool people into thinking the market is about to take off. But don’t trust it. This is a **trap**. Right after that spike, a **huge dump** is coming, and anyone who jumps in too soon could get wiped out.

The chart also highlights **smart money contractions** (the squares). These are zones where the price is likely to collapse due to institutional positioning. On top of that, I’ve got a **trend channel** mapped out, and I’ll be evaluating just **how deep this crash might go**.

**Why This Matters:**

This kind of signal usually means **dark pools and whales** are at work. They push prices up to lure retail traders in, then they dump their positions, crashing the market and leaving the smaller traders with losses.

**A Key Note on the Charts:**

Don’t pay too much attention to the prices to the right on the chart right now. I had to **convert two layers into one layer**, which means the price display does not fully reflect the prices on the image chart. The warning signs are still valid, and the setup for a crash remains.

**What You Should Do:**

1. **Stay cautious** — don’t fall for the spike.
2. **Wait for the dump** to play out before thinking about investing.
3. **Stay calm** and **don’t panic-sell** if things go south.

**Bottom Line:**

The warning is clear — this pump isn’t real. It’s a **setup**, and a **massive dump** is on the way. The signal is showing up on the **1-week timeframe**, so this is going to be big.

**Dark pools and whales are plotting against retail traders.** The evidence is right there in the contractions and trend channels.

This is your **final warning**: Crypto is on the verge of a **devastating crash**, and I have no idea how low it’s going to go. **Brace yourselves.**
Note
Since this is showing up on the 1-week timeframe, the pump and fake-out could last for a while — it’s hard to say exactly how long. Higher timeframes mean these moves play out over days or even weeks, not hours.

This makes the pump look more convincing and gives traders a false sense of security. But here’s the critical part:

The dump will come by surprise. When it happens, it will be swift and brutal, catching many off guard. The longer the pump lingers, the more traders get baited in — and when the drop finally hits, it could wipe out positions before most have a chance to react.

The key takeaway:
• Don’t be fooled by the duration of the pump.
• The dump is inevitable, and when it comes, it will be sudden.
• Stay cautious, stay alert, and don’t get complacent just because the pump seems to last.
Note
Traders, heed this warning again carefully.

Yesterday, while I was pressed for time, I made a swift statement based on what I uncovered through my algorithm, research, and tools — something many of you are aware of by now. This isn’t mere speculation; it’s a declaration backed by data and insight.

Dark Pools and the Looming Threat

Consider this: when dark pools can manipulate Bitcoin’s price within a one-hour timeframe — like when it fell from 106K — imagine the scale of devastation they can unleash on a 1-week timeframe. The magnitude of this manipulation will be far greater. And let’s not forget the whales, who contributed to this distortion when the volume threshold became unstable.

The Bull Trap Exposed

Yesterday, when that bull trap appeared and Bitcoin surged by just over 1%, I called it for what it was: a trap. My algorithm saw it clearly. In that moment, my specialized indicator — designed to reveal smart money’s movements — showed no activity. The price rose, yet there was no real volume supporting the move.

So, ask yourself: Who was pushing the price up? This is manipulation, plain and simple.

Beyond Traditional Volume

I don’t rely on the standard volume data that crypto markets offer. My tools use alternative volume sources, volumes that reflect the movements of the higher ranks, the power players behind the scenes. When those volumes are quiet, I know something is amiss.

A Warning You Cannot Ignore

Even if Bitcoin and altcoins push higher, I’m not jumping in, and I won’t casually advise anyone to enter or exit. If you ask, know that this warning is hot off the press: when the fall begins, it will be devastating.

We don’t know exactly how long this pump will last. But those of you who’ve followed me know that when I talk of a crash, it’s because I see something serious unfolding. This is the first time I’ve detected something this monumental.

A Faint Glimmer of Hope

There’s only a tiny sliver of hope that Bitcoin might retain some value if Bitcoin Dominance rises slightly. That could help keep prices afloat — temporarily. But look at the smart money blocks on the chart. Look at where the price fell last time. Now see the most recent block. Ask yourself: Where do you think the fall will end up this time?

This isn’t speculation. This is a calculated observation.

My Risk Detector Speaks Clearly

My algorithm includes a risk detector that shows the health of the entire market. Right now, it’s almost empty. Using the daily timeframe even the higher ones. I gauge the liquidity of Bitcoin and the broader market. The picture is clear — Bitcoin’s liquidity is drying up, signaling a potential collapse. However, altcoin liquidity remains full, meaning capital is being held back, preventing prices from moving up. This is clear manipulation.

This withheld liquidity from Altcoin suggests that smart money is waiting for the perfect moment to act. When this liquidity is eventually released, it could lead to a massive surge pump as prices rise due to the influx of capital.


The Correction Is Near

I always knew a correction would come. The time may finally be upon us. The warning has been laid out.
Note
For those who have followed my journey and witnessed my success in both short and long positions, you know I don’t make calls lightly. Given the warning I’ve issued and the potential for prices to fall even further, I want to share my next short position target and where you can expect prices to drop.

As of now, my target for this short position is $90,338. But let me be clear — this does not mean the decline will stop there. The possibility of prices dropping even lower remains very real. I’ll be reevaluating short positions cautiously and methodically, adapting as the market shifts. I’m not rushing to paint the entire picture just yet because the market’s moves are fluid, and we need to stay agile.

A Strategic Approach

We are in a volatile zone, and predicting exact outcomes is impossible. However, by taking things step by step and staying vigilant, we can navigate these conditions effectively. This is about making calculated moves and avoiding impulsive decisions.

$90,338 is just the current target, but brace for deeper lows — they are likely coming. Let’s proceed with patience, precision, and a keen eye on the market.

The path ahead is treacherous, but for those who stay sharp, opportunities will unfold.
Note
As you follow this channel, you will receive real-time updates and alerts that reveal the hidden workings of dark pools, whales, and institutional forces — those who operate in the shadows. You will understand why these manipulations occur and how they shape the market.

Know this: the liquidity in altcoins will surge in a way we have never witnessed before. We stand on the precipice of extraordinary movement. Whatever you do, do not sell at a loss. Hold steadfast. Let this sinister manipulation by dark pools and whales — this evil hidden in the shadows — play itself out.

When the time is right, cash out, and as this darkness will pass, there will be another opportunity. But until the green light appears, do not invest. I want each of you to be profitable and protected. No one should never again find themselves ensnared by manipulation after all I’ve learned and developed.
Note
Testing New Strategies

I want to let you know that I will be testing new strategies in the coming period. Please be advised that these strategies will be tested as if we were in a bear market, even though we are not currently in one. I will be calling out new entry and exit points, but these should be viewed strictly as test calls and not taken as serious trade recommendations.

My goal with these tests is to develop an algorithm that can help us continue to profit once the bear market hits. By simulating bear market conditions now, I’m preparing us to stay ahead when the real downturn arrives.
Note
In these critical moments, while navigating market manipulation, I’ve come to realize we may also be dealing with trading auto-bots. These bots are automated systems that can either work in our favor or against retail traders. Since my experience with auto-bots is limited, it’s clear this represents a much bigger challenge in the cryptocurrency market than I initially thought.

This is my first time experiencing a crash of this magnitude. Months ago, I warned that we could see a bear crash within a bull market. The difference between then and now is that while my price targets were off, my prediction of a crash was correct. I based that evaluation on human psychology, and yes, you could say it was speculation. But let’s be clear: the crash did happen — even if my method back then wasn’t as refined as it is today.

I’ve since learned to incorporate Fibonacci retracements and human psychology into my calculations. While I’m not a big fan of placing Fib retracements directly on candle patterns, I now combine this approach with additional technical analysis (TA) before making significant calls. Because in truth, no one knows for certain what will happen next.

Real-Time Trading and Adaptation

One key lesson I’ve learned is that smart money constantly adapts, often turning the tables even on retail traders. The best way for me to trade is in real-time because market conditions and TA signals update hourly.

For example, just last night, I saw signals indicating a potential bull run. And while that bull run did materialize, I quickly identified it as a bull trap. At the same time, USDT.D was showing signs of plotting against retail traders. That’s when I issued a warning. The fact that many of you avoided entering bad trades, took profits, or managed to break even makes me incredibly proud.

A Win-Win Against Smart Money

To me, this is a win-win battle against smart money. Every time we outmaneuver their traps and protect our positions, it’s a victory. I’m continuously learning and refining my approach to stay one step ahead, and I’ll keep sharing these insights to help you navigate this complex market.

Let’s stay alert, trade smart, and remember: patience and real-time analysis are our best tools in this fight.
Note
Traders, gather closely and heed my words.

My daily timeframe has unveiled a grim forecast: a series of five downtrend candlesticks lies ahead. Bitcoin stands now upon the first of these five, the beginning of a descent not yet fully revealed.

Beware of the deceptive movements — there will be false surges designed to feign strength, a cruel illusion of upward momentum when the true path leads downward.

Stay vigilant, for the market is a cunning adversary. Do not be swayed by illusion; the descent has begun.
Note
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is on the rise, but this movement is being manipulated by dark pools. This rise in dominance is part of a smart money strategy designed to cushion Bitcoin’s price from falling too sharply. Dark pools achieve this by adding and removing liquidity through hidden transactions that are not visible on regular exchanges.

While regular traders cannot trade BTC.D directly, the thresholds, volumes, and patterns of these hidden activities are revealed through my data. These signals expose the manipulative behavior and show clear links to Bitcoin’s price action.
Note
A bullish signal is printing for a potential pump by Friday between 12 and 4 PM PT. However, even when that window arrives, my ATR still needs to align with it. Currently, the 5-hour timeframe shows ongoing manipulation, while the 6-hour timeframe does not. I’ll wait for full confirmation before making any moves.

In the meantime, Bitcoin is set for an upward move after 4 PM PT today. It can move along with maybe a sharp decline but reverse upwards. Remember, no investing yet — A long position is set at $99,488, and I’ll be testing it on the 45-minute timeframe.

There is a smart money trap at $100,779.
Note
The sharp decline is triggered by a whale threshold that doesn’t align with Bitcoin’s volume. This mismatch causes a brief surge, like the one we saw just hours ago, but it’s immediately followed by a steep drop.
Note
Traders — your rewards are coming. It’s only a matter of time. This phase must come to an end first, and then I’ll have good news for altcoin holders.

This crash was necessary, and for ALT reasons beyond what most can see. Patience will be rewarded.
Note
Bitcoin is in a constant struggle because conflicting signals are emerging across different timeframes. While the 4-hour timeframe has given a clear signal of a bullish surge expected tomorrow between 12 PM and 4 PM PT, the 5-hour timeframe tells a different story. As I mentioned earlier, the 5-hour timeframe has been, and continues to be, under manipulation.

This means that while short-term indicators show potential for a surge, the broader timeframe reveals hidden forces at play, likely from dark pools or smart money. These manipulative activities suppress upward movements or create false signals to trap traders.

Bitcoin’s struggle arises from this push-and-pull dynamic between short-term opportunities and long-term manipulation. Until the manipulation on the 5-hour timeframe clears up, Bitcoin’s movements will remain unstable and deceptive.

I’m still testing my long position
Note
Everyone, gather closer and pay attention.

Look at how altcoins are reacting as Bitcoin continues to descend. Normally, you’d expect altcoins to be in distress — yet they’re showing signs of wanting to break into a bull run. What does this mean? It signals that alt season may be just around the corner.

Even though I mentioned I’d be testing a long position, Bitcoin is currently testing altcoins. How altcoins react will be crucial. If they remain resilient or show bullish behavior, I believe Bitcoin will continue to bleed downward.

Can This End Soon?

I can’t guarantee that. We know USDT.D has been manipulated, but that doesn’t mean dark pools can’t suddenly decide to spike Bitcoin.
They’ve mastered the psychology of the market so thoroughly, they could navigate it blindfolded.

My Approach

I’m monitoring the market hour by hour. If the majority of traders (the herd) start leaning bearish, I’m prepared to switch to a bullish stance — but only with enough confirmation.

Always remember this: smart money never follows the herd. They thrive on doing the opposite and turning the tables on retail traders.
Note
Grandpa Tom’s Wild Bitcoin Meltdown

Gather ’round, folks, because this is the story of Grandpa Tom — the crusty old candlestick with a heart of wax and a head full of stubbornness. He ran a little candy store, but let’s be honest, he spent more time yelling at charts than he did selling sweets. His favorite candy? “Bitcoin Bullion Bars.” He just couldn’t stop telling his customers to “Buy Bitcoin!” — like it was the cure for all life’s problems.

But oh boy, things went south faster than a melted popsicle on a hot day.

The Downward Spiral

One fateful week, Grandpa Tom was in his back room, staring at his TradingView chart with eyes as wide as saucers. He watched Bitcoin drop like a sack of potatoes from 108K to 97K. Every time it took another dive, he just gave a little head nod and grunted, “Yep, it’s going lower…” like a man resigned to his fate.

He got so frustrated, his wax nearly melted. He thought, “Maybe some YouTuber knows something I don’t!” So, off he went to YouTube, looking for a glimmer of hope. But instead of hope, all he found were bloodbaths. Red charts everywhere. Every YouTube video was like a horror movie titled: “Bitcoin’s Demise: Part 47.”

Grandpa Tom lost it. He pounded his keyboard with his stubby little wick-fingers and went on a comment section rampage.
• “You’re all a bunch of liars!”
• “This is a setup!”
• “You’re trying to scare the world into selling so YOU can load up your bags!”

At this point, even his flame flickered in rage. He was like an old man shaking his fist at clouds, except the clouds were YouTubers in hoodies.

A Temporary Exit

Realizing he was about to pop a gasket, Grandpa Tom called his buddy, Bullish Harami — a candlestick known for his calm demeanor and slightly annoying optimism.

“Hey, Bullish,” he grumbled, “I need you to watch the shop for a week. I’ve got… business to take care of.”

Bullish Harami raised an eyebrow. “Business? You mean like… actual business?”

“Don’t ask questions!” Tom snapped, and off he went.

When the customers asked, “Where’s Grandpa Tom?” Bullish Harami shrugged and said, “He’s handling some very important… stuff.”

The Wall Street Meltdown

Turns out, Grandpa Tom’s “business” took him straight to Wall Street in New York City. He stomped into the New York Stock Exchange, muttering about institutions, dark pools, and conspiracies. His little wax feet left trails on the marble floors.

“Where’s the person responsible for Bitcoin’s collapse?!” he shouted, shaking his wick in fury. Traders turned to stare. Someone whispered, “Is that a… candlestick?”

Security tried to calm him down, but Grandpa Tom was having none of it. “You’re all in on it! You and your fancy suits and your dark pools! You’ve ruined Bitcoin! RUINED IT!”

Finally, after he accused a janitor of being a “market manipulator,” security had enough. They kicked him out, with Grandpa Tom shouting, “I’LL BE BACK WHEN BITCOIN HITS $1 MILLION!”

The Reflection

As he stood outside, staring at the towering buildings of Wall Street, Grandpa Tom’s mind was still spinning. He muttered to himself, “Dark pools… smart money… whales… maybe I should’ve just sold candy bars and stayed out of this.”

But deep down, he knew he’d never give up. He’d be back in his shop, still telling his customers to buy Bitcoin — because no matter how many times it fell, Grandpa Tom believed it would rise again.

And if it didn’t? Well, he’d probably blame the New York Stock Exchange again… or maybe the squirrels in his backyard.

Because that’s just Grandpa Tom for you — a stubborn old candlestick with a flame that refuses to go out.
Note
While I deal with rude comments — which, believe me, rage me — I’ll address those soon. But traders, gather around again and listen closely.

Yesterday, I clearly mentioned that a Bitcoin bull run was on the horizon, and it seems to be unfolding now. The bull print will be hot off the press between 12 and 4, as long as Bitcoin remains free of manipulation. By 12 noon, I’ll know for sure. If manipulation strikes again, the bull run will be held back by dark pools and whales.

In the meantime, my long position — which I’ve been testing, not entering — is designed to gauge its resilience under manipulation. It’s preparation for the bear market. If it fails, I’ll adapt and make the necessary changes.

As for the trader who suggested I should’ve added a summary to that old candlestick story — here’s your summary:

In the end, Grandpa Tom’s journey is a reminder of resilience, belief, and the humor found in chaos. No matter how many times Bitcoin fell or how many conspiracies he shouted about, his flame refused to go out. Even after meltdowns, market dives, and YouTube rants, Grandpa Tom always came back to his little candy shop, ready to tell anyone who would listen to “Buy Bitcoin!”

He knew the market could be brutal and unpredictable, but he also knew that downturns are just part of the process. His stubbornness wasn’t just frustration — it was a symbol of hope and unwavering determination. Because in his heart, Grandpa Tom believed that after every fall, there’s a chance to rise again.

And that’s the beauty of it: through every storm, his flame still burned bright. He taught us that sometimes, the best way to face uncertainty is with a mix of grit, humor, and a belief in brighter days ahead

———————————————————————

Also I want to make something clear-
I get that stories aren’t for everyone, and I respect that. But I share them not just to illustrate trading points. They’re there to remind others that in moments of distress, they’re not alone. Trading can be isolating, and sometimes a story offers more than just a lesson; it offers connection. I’m still here, writing comments, engaging, and being part of this community. I won’t change my approach just because one person prefers otherwise — different styles for different minds.
Note
Traders — Heed This Warning Carefully

As of today, let me make one thing clear: Bitcoin may rise, but does that cancel out the bullish signals for USDT.D?
1. The answer is no.
2. Can we see a shift in market conditions? The answer can be yes but just temporary.

If Bitcoin aims to move higher than its all-time high (ATH), there’s no doubt that manipulation will affect all timeframes up to the 1-day chart — and right now, that’s exactly what we’re seeing that’s already unfolding. This USDT.D will rise wild and deceptive, and I’m warning you in advance again.

Yesterday’s Insights

I mentioned that all timeframes up to the 5-hour chart were under smart money manipulation. So, what’s new today? The 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11-hour timeframes are now in the process of being manipulated. Some have already started, while others are pending.

Current Manipulation Status
Manipulation Completed:
• Up to the 45-minute timeframe

Manipulation in Process, Almost Complete:
• 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5-hour timeframes

• Manipulation Pending (Detected by My TA Algorithm):
• 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11–hour timeframes

What Does This Mean?

Prepare for the worst-case scenario.
• No Investing in BTC, ETH, or Altcoins right now.
• Any signs of bullishness you see are designed to bait retail traders into making bad entries.
• Let others around the globe, who won’t heed this advice, jump in. As for you, be patient and wait for the discounted prices to come.

For those who may be in doubt about the hours I’ve mentioned — let me clarify. This insight comes from my TA algorithm setup, a system I’ve spent countless hours developing to help fight against the hidden predators of the trading world. This tool is designed to expose the manipulation that lurks beneath the surface, where dark pools and smart money operate.

If you don’t agree with my analysis, that’s understandable. But I encourage you to wait and see how this unfolds. The market will reveal the truth soon enough.
Note
One more thing — I am a trader full of words, and I embrace it, especially when I get to share them with all of you.

To add to what I’ve said above: If any of you are thinking about diving into a trade for any coin out there right now, picture yourself venturing out into the vast, open sea. The water is deceptively calm, the sun is shining — but beneath the surface, lurking in the shadows, are the institutional sharks. They are patient, calculating, and hungry. They don’t just want a bite — they’re ready to devour your entire economy.

These aren’t ordinary sharks; they are masters of deception, moving unseen in the murky depths of dark pools and hidden transactions. The moment you make a move, they’ll circle tighter, waiting for you to show the slightest weakness. One wrong move, one impulsive decision, and they’ll strike swiftly, leaving nothing behind but shattered hopes and empty wallets.

So before you dive in, ask yourself: Are you ready to swim with these sharks? Because in their waters, hesitation is fatal, and survival requires more than just courage — it demands patience, vigilance, and knowing when to stay on the shore.

Stay out of the water for now, and live to trade another day.
Note
Good news — I’ve got a complete overview of the big picture and a clear sense of how low this downturn might go. I’ll share the details in a private idea later, showing you how far Bitcoin is likely to fall. Stay tuned — the insights are coming.
Note
Trading should never be treated as gambling, and selling at a loss should always be a calculated decision. Whether or not to sell depends on the size of the loss relative to the investment and the trader’s strategy.

For example:
• If you’ve invested 200K and are facing a 5K loss, it may make sense to hold your position and wait for the market to recover.
• However, if the loss is $500 or less, it might be wiser to sell and cut your losses before they grow.

This approach ties into setting a stop-loss according to each trader’s tolerance for risk. But this method can’t be applied consistently without careful consideration, because small losses can quickly add up over time, eating into your capital.

There are countless scenarios when it comes to managing losses, each depending on market conditions, investment size, and risk tolerance. I’ve already shared my thoughts on locking in gains and breaking even, but ultimately, managing losses requires a balanced and strategic approach — not emotional reactions.

Remember: Every decision should be part of a bigger plan, not a gamble.
Note
We have about 20 minutes before 12 noon to see if a potential bullish move will unfold. We’ll need to give it until 4 PM PT to fully assess the situation. However, this all depends on whether smart money allows the move to play out.

Even if a bullish surge occurs, be cautious — there’s a strong possibility that the market could reverse and move downward shortly afterward.
Note
So far, BTC is signaling a potential surge anytime from now until midnight (Pacific Time). As of now, it’s 3:45 PM PT.

BTC.D is showing signs of bullish momentum, while USDT.D also indicates an upward move. This could keep Bitcoin consolidated, preventing a significant breakout. However, if dark pools manipulate USDT.D downward, Bitcoin could experience a bull run — but it’s important to note that this run would likely be short-lived, with Bitcoin eventually retracing back down.

For now, no entries are recommended. Trading remains on hold until clearer signals emerge. Stay cautious and patient.
Note
Alright, who’s ready for a strong surge? BTC has signaled a massive bull run is on the horizon.

But remember — don’t expect prices to climb indefinitely. What goes up must come down, and this surge will eventually retrace. That said, we could be looking at something big in the meantime.

Stay tuned, and I’ll explain the details soon.
Note
I’m not falling for this minor downward move. It’s nothing more than a temporary dip — a small distraction in the bigger picture.
Will unfold like any moment now
Note
Who’s ready for a BULL RUN?

Here’s the reality I’m dealing with: a global market filled with millions of retail traders, many selling at a loss due to fear or other reasons. At the same time, I’m up against the darkest forces in the trading world — dark pools, whales, and massive institutions who operate with data and resources that are nearly impossible for the average trader to access.

So yes, I’ve called a bull run, and I’m standing firmly behind that call. I’m putting my reputation on the line here on the TradingView platform. But let me make one thing clear: don’t challenge me — challenge yourself. I’ve worked tirelessly to refine my methods and assure myself that I can accurately detect bull runs.

And here’s the kicker: I’m not just analyzing under ordinary trading conditions. This market is under hardcore manipulation — far beyond what most traders are accustomed to.

So, before accusing me of being delayed, understand the complexity of what I’m navigating. Be kind, stay patient, and know that every call I make is based on hard work, precision, and a deep understanding of the market.

This is no ordinary system — this is a fight against the most powerful forces in the market. Let’s face it together.
Note
To all the newcomers — welcome to the world of trading!
Note
Hidden Update

Two days ago, I told all of you that USDT.D would enter a bull run on the 1-week timeframe, driving down Bitcoin by collapsing its price — and indeed, it happened. But let me be clear, it hasn’t ended yet.

As USDT.D volume spiked, Bitcoin dropped to 92K. So, what’s new today?
Now, USDT.D is being manipulated on the 2-day timeframe. Based on the dark pools’ numeric information formula, I’ve identified two thresholds. This indicates that they’ve decided to make dominance go negative, meaning Bitcoin will bull run.

This bull run won’t start until tomorrow after 4 PM PT, but let me emphasize this: NO, NO, NO — I did not base my bull run call from today solely on tomorrow. This bull run is just one of the methods I’ve used to detect bull runs. I’ve calculated them based on time and date, and while there’s been a slight delay, let’s cut some slack — USDT.D is still actively working and even after 4pm pt today when dominance was positive, I was confident to make my call. I did not call it from fear but from assurance regardless if dominance was positive.

What This Means

The bull run I’ve called isn’t about causing prices to crash but move up. I’ve already mentioned the date and time to all of you two days ago, referencing Friday from 12-4 PM PT, and yes, there’s been a slight delay. However, this bull run forms after manipulation is complete in algorithm.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting:
• I have another bull run detection, this time based on whale activity. This is a different signal, far more severe and powerful, and it’s nearly complete.

For now, we’re dealing with the current bull run, which is separate from tomorrow’s dominance bearish fall. This fall will pump Bitcoin temporarily. Then, we might shift to my whales bull run detection, which is the most potent tool I have for spotting coordinated bullish moves if it reads it.

USDT.D Bull Run and Its Impact

Does this new bullish activity void the USDT.D bull run, which indicates Bitcoin will crash? Not yet. So far, we’ve seen Bitcoin drop to 92K, but USDT.D manipulation is ongoing.

Understanding the Balance

Remember, we’re dealing with human psychology in the market. Ask yourself:
• If the market was completely bearish, wouldn’t some retail traders give up and walk away entirely?
• For the market to function, there has to be a balance between bullish and bearish movements to keep traders engaged.

Think back to the last bear market. Do you remember the downtrend? How many bull runs occurred during that time, even as prices kept bleeding? Was it all a straight bearish crash, or were there temporary recoveries?

Now, apply this logic to USDT.D, and you’ll have your answer.

Final Thoughts

If the market were to be entirely bearish or entirely bullish, there would be no trading opportunities at all. The balance between these forces is what creates opportunities, and that balance requires skill and patience to navigate.
Note
I’m sharing this from a traders question who I replied too which will help us all- Let me explain it like this:

In the market, there are cycles that must be completed to maintain balance. One of the ways the market functions is by redistributing money — profits are made from those who sell at a loss. Think of it like a piggy bank full of liquidity. If that piggy bank isn’t full enough to meet the market’s requirements, manipulation is used to force traders into selling or making poor decisions, which replenishes the liquidity.

The good news is that right now, the piggy bank is full. I use a liquidity that’s like a gauge to monitor this, and I can see when the liquidity is being prepared for release. Once it’s released, the market will move accordingly — but it will happen at the right time, not randomly.

Understanding this concept can help us navigate market cycles more strategically. The key is patience and knowing when the manipulation has played out.
Note
$99,102 Long Position — Testing Only

This is purely a test during the manipulation cycle. This is part of the strategy to observe how the market reacts under current conditions. Patience is key during this phase.
Note
Once the bull run activates, I want to remind you about what I mentioned regarding tomorrow at 4 PM Pacific Time. This is when the 2-day timeframe, which has been manipulated by dark pools, is set to push down USDT dominance. This action paves the way for Bitcoin to rise, and I’ll be calling out long positions for Bitcoin specifically.

Altcoins, however, are excluded for now. They’re still in the process of activating, preparing for what could be a major explosion in price — a movement that’s very near. The market is setting the stage for altcoins, but the timing isn’t quite aligned yet.

How the Cycle Works

Bitcoin plays a critical role in how the overall crypto market moves. When Bitcoin reduces its price, it often opens the door for altcoins to move up. However, this isn’t a rigid rule — the cycle doesn’t always follow this pattern exactly. In some cases, Bitcoin’s rise can ignite altcoin action, depending on how dominance and liquidity shift.

Could This Be the Moment?

This could very well be the move that triggers altcoin momentum. If Bitcoin moves up significantly, we may finally see altcoins start their long-anticipated run. However, it’s crucial to monitor closely, as manipulation can alter these dynamics at any time.

For now, let’s wait and see how Bitcoin’s movement impacts the market. The pieces are in place, and tomorrow’s events could set off the chain reaction we’ve been preparing for. Stay cautious and stay informed — the next moves are critical.

I’m also monitoring whale activity on the 30-minute timeframe, which indicates that significant action with Bitcoin is about to take place at any moment. The signals suggest movement is imminent, so stay alert and prepared for rapid changes to the bull side.


Keep in mind, the GRIZZLY BEAR is still lurking and hasn’t stepped aside yet.

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Let me clarify something for you: trading must always maintain a balance.

In this idea, some may ask if everything is completely bearish. My response is to follow USDT dominance closely and see for yourselves. Observe the green and red candles in its movement. This balance between uptrends and downtrends is crucial to understanding how manipulation plays out.

Pay close attention to how Bitcoin behaved during a period when USDT dominance was on a bull run. As dominance rose, Bitcoin was expected to collapse, and it did. This was during the formation of a bull flag, where the market’s ups and downs left many traders confused, unsure of the true direction of the trend.

The culprit behind this confusion is USDT dominance and the manipulation driven by those who control the system. As dominance turned positive and surged, it directly impacted the bull flag’s behavior, adding layers of uncertainty for traders trying to navigate the market.

The takeaway? Watch the dominance charts carefully — they reveal a lot about the market’s next moves, even amid manipulation.
Trade active
Yesterday’s bull run was unmistakably a product of manipulation, driven by USDT.D. What wasn’t destined to be a bull trap was twisted into one—right in the midst of retail panic. But let’s be clear: the bull run wasn’t invalidated. For that to happen, BTC would need to fall by at least 2% in price—and we’re not there yet.

I’m still tracking whale activity on the 30-minute timeframe, which signals potential upward movement. So bear with me. The market is rife with manipulation, but my signals remain sharp and focused. As of today, after 4 PM PT, USDT.D has been deliberately pushed downward on the 2D timeframe. The games are still in play.

To those urging patience, I hear you—but understand this: I’ve worn the crown for accurately calling bull runs, and my record speaks for itself. I’ve made the right calls consistently. Yet, I’m chasing perfection. I’m determined to crack the code for flawless predictions—and if I have to forgo sleep, so be it.

This market manipulation isn’t just a challenge; it’s a warzone. And as a trader, I’m experiencing its full force for the first time. But here’s the promise: I’m in this battle to build the ultimate formula—one that ensures we thrive, no matter how chaotic the market becomes.

I want your success to be undeniable. When the bear market looms and everyone else struggles, I want people to look at you and ask, “How are you still making money?” And you’ll have the answer.

So yes, I’ll pound on this market with every ounce of determination I have. I’ll dive as deep as it takes into the shadows, uncover every secret, and wield it to stay ahead. I’m not stopping—not now, not ever.

If I were king, I’d rally traders to rise above this manipulation, turn the tables, and claim the success that’s rightfully ours. We don’t bow to the market—we conquer it.
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I believe this is a classic bear trap, and there’s good reasoning behind it. Bitcoin recently closed a 4-hour timeframe with a hammer candle, one of the most bullish price action signals.

While many assumed it was time to enter, Bitcoin’s price has been strategically held back, giving the illusion of an ongoing crash. But here’s the twist: could this be where USDT.D starts its slide downward after 4 PM PT, setting the stage for a breakout?

Is this the moment when the hammer formation reveals its strength and triggers a sharp spike? Only time will tell, but all the signs are lining up.
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It’s becoming increasingly clear that the stage is being meticulously set for a bullish engulfing pattern to emerge on the higher timeframe, accompanied by the hammer formation I mentioned earlier. As I’ve said before, men lie, women lie, but the charts don’t lie.

This consistent back-and-forth movement is a textbook example of the Forex master pattern, signaling smart money manipulation. Every move appears calculated, aligning perfectly with how institutional players position themselves before a decisive breakout. The signs couldn’t be more obvious.

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No need to panic—we already understand the moves being orchestrated by USDT.D. What’s happening now is a calculated attempt to shake out retail traders before the real action begins.
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The stage will be set sooner than we think, and the tickets are nearly ready—who’s prepared to claim theirs for the main event?
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We’re going slow even if the long position shows higher, for now — $98,696
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Please wait until this ends. It’s crucial to explain
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Short position $96,599
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I’ll provide an update if there’s any change to the short position at $96,599. Stay calm—there’s a bullish move forming on the horizon. Whales are preparing to welcome the hammer and the bullish engulfing pattern.
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It might be wise for some of you to step back from watching the price move sideways. There’s significant manipulation happening, and many retail traders are falling into the trap. For those of you still in the game, stay patient.

Always remember: throughout trading history, wealth has consistently shifted from the hands of the impatient to those who exercise patience.
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I haven’t had the chance to reply yet, but I will at a later time. I’ve got a lot on my plate today and have been back and forth on the highways.
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For those of you who have asked questions during my frequent updates, it’s important to start by looking at the original idea to understand the bigger picture. If you’ve been following my updates from the very beginning, reading them sequentially from Update 1 to now, everything should fall into place.

However, if you’ve only recently started following me and skipped over my earlier updates—focusing only on the most recent ones and comparing those directly to the original idea—you might find yourself confused. This is expected because my updates build on one another and reference the evolving context of the idea.

If you’ve thoroughly read all my updates, studied the chart idea, and still find it unclear, that’s something I have a hard time understanding. Please bear with me—I’m doing my best to convey my approach clearly.

I’m a very different trader compared to many others on TradingView. Most traders publish a single idea, aiming in one direction, and leave it at that. If the market shifts, they move on to a new idea aimed in the new direction. I don’t work that way. I call out the bigger picture, like forecasting a Bitcoin crash, and stay with it—even as Bitcoin moves up and down in the short term.

During this crash, Bitcoin updates hourly, and I provide constant updates to reflect that movement. There are bull runs along the way, but the larger trend continues to bleed downward unless a significant change occurs. Meanwhile, the bear trend remains intact.

I’ve explained this in many different ways, but I hope this adds further clarity. Thank you for your patience as I navigate and update this dynamic market.
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FYI—I previously mentioned whale activity on the 30-minute timeframe, and now it’s reflected on the 1-hour timeframe. This means the spike I forecasted is shaping up to be even bigger and finally appears ready. Now, we wait for the whales to make their move, barring any delays.
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Traders, remember that smart money operates as masters of psychology. They have all the time in the world and have studied the retail trader’s mindset thoroughly.

They understand our tendencies:
• Our desire to get rich overnight.
• Our inclination to panic under pressure.

While they’ve perfected the art of exploiting how retail traders think, I’ve also built a comprehensive understanding of how they operate. Knowing both sides of the game is the key to staying ahead.
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Traders, let me break this down for you—pay close attention. When a whale decides to pump Bitcoin, it will happen as it always does: with a massive injection of capital. Initially, the price will drop before recovering and moving upward.

Why does this happen? Retail traders are under pressure, uncertain about the true direction of the trend. Many have bought in at higher prices and are now in a state of regret. Smart money capitalizes on this hesitation, allowing retail traders to sell off in fear before pushing the price higher. Understanding this pattern is crucial to staying ahead.
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Patience, traders—don’t lose it just yet. I can already hear some of you complaining, but please, save it. Here’s the reality: it only takes a few panicked traders to start selling for the price spike to be delayed.

And let’s be honest, this isn’t my decision, and it’s certainly not yours. Smart money isn’t about to spike the price while retail is busy selling into their hands. They’ll wait until the chaos dies down—because why rush when they’ve got all the time in the world? So, take a breath and let the market do its thing.
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Am I a trader who loves to instill patience in others? Absolutely. But let me ask you this—wasn’t there supposed to be a bull run since yesterday at 4 PM PT? So, where is it?

Did this bull lose its way to the candles? Or is it like the bridegroom waiting at the altar, only for the bride to never show up? The suspense is real, the tension is building, and we’re all left wondering when the fireworks will finally begin! Stay sharp—this story isn’t over yet.
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Who remembers the 5-candlestick downtrend pattern I talked about on the daily timeframe? Let me ask you this—which candle are we on right now? And if you can answer that, I’ll let you in on the differences between Heiken Ashi vs volume.

If you know the answer, then you already know what’s coming next sweetheart. And if you don’t, I encourage you to search the updates.

The next move is about to steal the spotlight.
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We’re still in a strong position—let the bigger players establish liquidity. Movements like this are normal, and as long as prices stay within range, we’re in good shape. Once sufficient liquidity is built up, prices will move upward.

Right now, most timeframes have enough liquidity, except for the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes. As these fill up, everything will align, leading to a complete session. The pieces are falling into place
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Traders, which candle are we currently on in the 5-candlestick downtrend?
• Volume indicates we’re on the 5th candle.
• Heiken Ashi suggests we’re on the 4th candle.

So, which one is more accurate? The answer is volume. Heiken Ashi is best used as a guide, not for precise entries.

Now, the big question: will we see a bull run before Christmas? If you’ve followed this closely, the answer should already be clear.
Note
The next short position is set at $95,939, strategically aimed to shake out another batch of retail traders who might panic sell. However, don’t lose sight of the $96,599 level—it’s still a key point in the bigger picture. Both levels are part of the manipulation process to test retail patience and clear the way for smart money to take control.
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Traders, when this bull run arrives, heed my words—you must show restraint with Bitcoin. Do not go long.
I will put out a long reasonable position. Remember the bigger picture: USDT.D is playing its role in suppressing Bitcoin, and that won’t change.

Why are we getting this bull run? Is it because we deserve it? Perhaps because we’re charming? Sure, we might be, but let’s face it—that’s not why. This bull is no friend; it’s a cunning trap, designed to lure retail investors into the game and entice them into poor decisions.

Learn from the bull flag. It’s staring you in the face, right here in this idea. Look closely. What do you see? Do you remember the times we bounced up and down like we were on a trampoline? Who orchestrated that chaos? Dark pools manipulating USDT.D.

Take a hard look at USDT.D. What happened the last time it bull ran? Bitcoin plummeted from about 73K to 52k. But was it a single, clean drop? No—it was a series of calculated movements, each step designed to confuse and exhaust retail traders. And mark my words, we’re about to experience the same pattern again. So we will have bull runs.

Ignore this at your peril. If you listen to those hyping dreams of “orbiting space” instead of staying grounded in reality, you’ll face disappointment as sharp and venomous as the bite of a serpent.

This idea couldn’t be clearer. And if for any reason it doesn’t get the attention it deserves, I’ll make a copy, repost it, and keep it alive. It will serve as a reminder—a testament to the dangers of investing blindly in a market manipulated by forces far beyond retail control.

Let this idea echo in your mind: Bitcoin is being manipulated, and ignorance is not an option. Adjust your strategies, or prepare to be swept aside. The choice is yours.
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There will be no altcoin investments until I see a confirmed bull run on TOTAL3.

If you decide to invest in altcoins before that confirmation, prepare for the worst. Frankly, you’d be better off giving that money to charity—it’d serve a better purpose.
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Let me clarify what I meant when I said not to go long during the bull run. What I actually meant is go long, but with limits. I’ll also provide a reasonable long position for guidance.

The type of long position I advised against is holding on and expecting Bitcoin to rise significantly higher after an initial spike. In most cases, Bitcoin is likely to fall again before climbing back up. So, manage your positions carefully and avoid overextending yourself based on unrealistic expectations.
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Traders, here’s the good news: my plotter, designed to detect bull runs (which is different from the one I mentioned yesterday which was twisted into a bull trap) and confirmed by my technical analysis, is now signaling a bull run.

At the same time:
• Bitcoin’s MA is showing a completely oversold condition.
• USDT.D is showing a fully overbought state.

The math aligns perfectly, suggesting we could see some action very soon.

And don’t forget—my whale activity tracker on the hourly timeframe has been signaling readiness for hours now. The pieces are falling into place.
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Traders, so far, my plotter indicates no signs of a pump-and-dump as Bitcoin begins its bull run. I’m anticipating a potential long position soon. If that happens, I’ll outline the details, but I need to let the price rise first to calculate it accurately with the ATR.

However, if I suddenly receive a dump signal, it’s likely we’ll see a rise followed by a sharp drop. As of now, the signals remain safe.

I’ll be monitoring this for the next two hours, but after that, my human side will need some rest. Stay cautious and alert!
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I’ve received another print indicating further bullish momentum, pointing specifically to the 11hr TF and
3 AM PT. These signals are becoming increasingly intense, and the expectation of a significant bull spike is drawing closer. —the horizon looks promising.
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Short position reads it at $95,390
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Traders, all bull signals backed by technical analysis (TA) are now off the table. The current level of manipulation is extreme, and all TA is being disrupted on a massive scale. My bull signals will only come back into play once the market stabilizes.

For now, the only reliable guidance I can offer are ATR short positions, which remain unaffected by smart money’s manipulation. This ongoing retail panic is beyond normal control measures, and it’s critical to proceed with caution.

As I’ve repeatedly warned over the past weeks: no altcoin entries. Stay away. I repeat, stay away from altcoins.
Bitcoin, and ETH have been the spotlights of the show and since this manipulation started I’ve said also to don’t buy bitcoin. I clearly mentioned, I would be testing some TA I developed and if some failed I would fine tune them.

When I first called out this INSTITUTIONAL AMBUSH, Bitcoin was at $101,369, and while it appeared to be moving up, it eventually crashed downward. The same goes for ETH—many of you were warned. ETH was performing well, sitting at around $3,800, but greed and ambition led many to overlook my warnings. Now, look at where it stands. This is the cost of ignoring caution.

During times of manipulation, all bull signals are invalidated. For those following this channel, this is my first experience dealing with manipulation on this scale. I’ve been testing TA during this period, and the results are clear—it’s time to refine and fine-tune these strategies to better handle situations like this.

As I prepare for the bear market, I remind you that TA does work, but the real challenge lies in coding it effectively to counteract manipulation. I already have systems in place that adapt to these scenarios.

Be aware: if Bitcoin cannot force more retail traders to sell at a loss, smart money will continue to push prices lower until many capitulate. This is happening now. Stay calm—Bitcoin will not drop below a price I’ve already set in mind. I’m still testing that exact level, but I can assure you, there is a bottom limit.

Whatever you do, do not sell at a loss. Both Bitcoin and ETH will recover, and when they do, it will be with even greater strength and abundance. This drop is strategically paving the way for altcoins to kick off their bull runs.

Later today, I’ll publish a private idea explaining this in detail. For now, remain patient, stay cautious, and trust that we’re navigating through this storm together and you’re not alone.
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Traders, on the daily timeframe, the 5-candlestick downtrend pattern is set to conclude today at 4 PM PT. This TA has demonstrated its reliability even during periods of heavy manipulation, such as when USDT.D manipulated Bitcoin during the bull flag—and Bitcoin ultimately moved upward.

For those who entered late before the manipulation took hold, this could offer a glimmer of hope. Stay focused, as this pattern on the daily timeframe signals potential upward movement ahead.
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I’ve calculated another ATR, but I was slightly late—the price has already hit the short position target at $94,998. I’m sharing this because, as I mentioned earlier, in my private idea, the level where the price shouldn’t drop any lower actually aligns with this $94,998 mark.

To be clear, $94,998 is not the lowest price I’ve calculated. I’ll reveal more details later, using my ATR levels and precise calculations to provide clarity.

In the meantime, there’s no need to worry. We may not drop that low at all, and I’ll explain why soon. The 5th candle in the downtrend pattern ends today at 4 PM PT, which gives us hope for a shift in momentum. Stay calm and hold on—there’s light at the end of this pattern.

It’s time for me to grab my 3 shots of espresso—maybe I’ll make it 4. That should put me in full jet stream mode.
Once I’m back, I’ll share the private idea I mentioned earlier. Stay tuned!
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The 4-hour timeframe indicates potential upward movement based on my analysis using Bollinger Bands, combined with RSI and other calculation methods.

Additionally, my examination of the daily 5-candlestick downtrend threshold, which is set to conclude today at 4 PM PT, supports this outlook. Historically, this pattern has often started to reverse upward before the full completion of the 5 daily candles. These signals suggest a possible shift in momentum is on the horizon but remember it’s only temporary and I’ll explain why later about why it’s a temporary move up.
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Traders, the moment has arrived.
It’s time to reveal what’s coming our way. I’ve been desperately waiting for this moment. Using my shark fins, I’ll uncover the key elements that are bound to catch your attention. This breakdown will take shape in a separate idea, fittingly titled:

“The Bull Returns for Revenge.”

But let’s not get ahead of ourselves—the bloodbath isn’t over yet. Who truly knows the future? I don’t, but here’s what I’ll be sharing:
1. The Bull Returns for Revenge – A new idea that delves into what’s unfolding next.
2. Bitcoin’s Support Line – The critical level below which prices are unlikely to fall.
3. ATR Support and Resistance – I steer away from traditional support and resistance due to market manipulation. While traditional levels offer guidance, they can never confirm price action.

If I’m missing something, feel free to remind me. As I load up on espresso, I might be getting a bit ahead of myself.
Stay tuned—big moves are coming.

In the most challenging and critical moments, I’m here to guide and support. However, once this storm passes, I might be taking a step back to recharge and relieve the stress that comes with it. This all depends on my rest.
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hold your ground—only 5 hours and 18 minutes remain for the daily timeframe to close and complete the 5-candlestick downtrend.
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Traders,
I'm excited to share that I'm nearing the completion of a groundbreaking trading formula. This formula uses mathematical principles to calculate Fibonacci levels in line with human psychology. While I initially succeeded in decoding the uptrend, the downtrend aspect remained elusive—until now.
I've finally cracked the code, and soon I'll demonstrate how future price targets will unfold. My goal is to accurately decode market movements, regardless of what manipulators may attempt.
To achieve this, I've been using ATR-based mathematics to analyze trends. Now, I'm integrating both Fibonacci and ATR into a unified framework to decode uptrends and downtrends with precision.
Stay tuned—big insights are on the way!
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Upon evaluating USDT.D on the 1-hour timeframe, the recent spike in dominance appears to be fading as I use my MTF Pi cycles, signaling an imminent decline. This aligns with the 5-candlestick downtrend pattern observed on the daily timeframe.
The completion of this 5-candlestick pattern on the daily chart typically indicates the start of a reversal process, suggesting that the current downtrend may soon transition into an upward move. Traders should watch closely for confirmation as the pattern nears completion by 4pm PT. Check your time zones.
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With around 2.5 hours until broad daylight, the daily 5-candlestick downtrend will reveal whether this setup, potentially under severe manipulation, was a solid opportunity.

Will the bull stage a comeback? Are some altcoins poised to turn bullish?
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Please check out the new idea and pay close attention to the final paragraph at the bottom of *'The Liquidity Heist.'* It’s important to note that I’m not disregarding the weekly USDT.D manipulation caused by Dark Pools.

"The Liquidity Heist"
Beyond Technical Analysis

"You hear the wind, but where does it go?"

Disclaimer