Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Trading range week is behind us. Targets below are the same. 75k and maybe 70k. Bulls need to claim 95k again. I don’t have much to write about this right now. It’s a clear bear trend but it’s trying to bottom out above 75k. Next dip below 80k is the most important one. If bears fail again, we could try to 100k again.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
comment: Trading range week is behind us. Targets below are the same. 75k and maybe 70k. Bulls need to claim 95k again. I don’t have much to write about this right now. It’s a clear bear trend but it’s trying to bottom out above 75k. Next dip below 80k is the most important one. If bears fail again, we could try to 100k again.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.