Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis
🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Bearish
Key Levels:
Resistance: $86,500, $90,600
Support: $84,500, $82,000
Indicators:
MACD: Negative, showing bearish momentum
RSI: 43.3, oversold zone approaching
EMA 200: Acting as resistance, rejection near $90,600
Liquidity & Volume:
Strong sell-offs with increased bearish volume
Market makers possibly driving price lower before a rebound
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias)
Entry: Sell near $85,000
Target: $84,000, $83,500
Stop-loss: Above $85,600
Potential Profit: ~1.2% - 1.8%
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping
Entry: If BTC breaks below $84,000
Target: $82,500
Stop-loss: Above $84,500
Potential Profit: ~1.8%
🩸 3. EMA & VWAP Scalping
Entry: Short when price rejects EMA 200 ($86,500)
Target: $84,200
Stop-loss: Above $87,000
Potential Profit: ~2.6%
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If BTC holds $84,500, expect consolidation before potential rebound
If breakdown occurs, $82,000 is the next major support
Only a confirmed breakout above $90,600 will shift momentum bullish
🔥 News & Market Context:
Increased selling pressure from institutions
Possible market manipulation before ETF-related movements
Global market sentiment leaning risk-off
🔥 Profit Calculation:
Average scalping trades yield 1.2% - 2.6% per position
Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 or better in most setups
🔥 Trade Rating (1-10):
🩸 Momentum Scalping: 8/10 – Strong setup, but needs volume confirmation
🩸 Breakout Scalping: 7/10 – Good setup if BTC loses $84,000 support
🩸 EMA/VWAP Scalping: 9/10 – High probability short near EMA 200
Final Score: 8/10 – High potential trade, but requires tight risk management
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Favoring shorts near resistance
🩸 Mid-term: Cautious, potential for breakdown
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp shorts near $85,000-$86,500
👑 Final Verdict:
The market is not in favor of long positions. Smart money is distributing, and retail traders are being trapped in fake recoveries. Stay disciplined.
🔥 FinCaesar's Statement:
"The weak chase the pumps. The strong anticipate the dumps."
Trend: Bearish
Key Levels:
Resistance: $86,500, $90,600
Support: $84,500, $82,000
Indicators:
MACD: Negative, showing bearish momentum
RSI: 43.3, oversold zone approaching
EMA 200: Acting as resistance, rejection near $90,600
Liquidity & Volume:
Strong sell-offs with increased bearish volume
Market makers possibly driving price lower before a rebound
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias)
Entry: Sell near $85,000
Target: $84,000, $83,500
Stop-loss: Above $85,600
Potential Profit: ~1.2% - 1.8%
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping
Entry: If BTC breaks below $84,000
Target: $82,500
Stop-loss: Above $84,500
Potential Profit: ~1.8%
🩸 3. EMA & VWAP Scalping
Entry: Short when price rejects EMA 200 ($86,500)
Target: $84,200
Stop-loss: Above $87,000
Potential Profit: ~2.6%
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
If BTC holds $84,500, expect consolidation before potential rebound
If breakdown occurs, $82,000 is the next major support
Only a confirmed breakout above $90,600 will shift momentum bullish
🔥 News & Market Context:
Increased selling pressure from institutions
Possible market manipulation before ETF-related movements
Global market sentiment leaning risk-off
🔥 Profit Calculation:
Average scalping trades yield 1.2% - 2.6% per position
Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 or better in most setups
🔥 Trade Rating (1-10):
🩸 Momentum Scalping: 8/10 – Strong setup, but needs volume confirmation
🩸 Breakout Scalping: 7/10 – Good setup if BTC loses $84,000 support
🩸 EMA/VWAP Scalping: 9/10 – High probability short near EMA 200
Final Score: 8/10 – High potential trade, but requires tight risk management
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Favoring shorts near resistance
🩸 Mid-term: Cautious, potential for breakdown
🩸 Ideal Play: Scalp shorts near $85,000-$86,500
👑 Final Verdict:
The market is not in favor of long positions. Smart money is distributing, and retail traders are being trapped in fake recoveries. Stay disciplined.
🔥 FinCaesar's Statement:
"The weak chase the pumps. The strong anticipate the dumps."
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.