Hello,
Looking at the bigger picture, Bitcoin is very close o confirming one huge achievement: exiting the enormous descending triangle it had entered 2017. I think if the breakout gets confirmed on the weekly timeframe, the other two patterns I have on the chart might have a chance to play out:
1) V-shape bottom, with a target close to 16k
2) Descending broadening wedge pattern, with a target close to 18.6k. I observe that no one is talking about this pattern. I just spotted it. What's interesting about this scenario is that the possibility to touch 3,8k price was there all the time and COVID-19 was only the spark(the story that the big players needed). Jesus, only if I could've spotted this in February! :) This pattern also implies that if BTC doesn't continue its rise, and will reenter the broadening wedge, the price can hit 2k, near the lower part of the broadening wedge. An unlikely scenario, if you ask me.
Can we fall from 9.9k(where we are at this moment)? Absolutely! But I think we are getting more and more close to entering a bull market. Will it be this year? Will it the next year? I don't know. :)
Good luck with your trades!
Sisif