All three previous scenarios are still valid. However a complex triangle has formed and has delayed the progression through the waves.
The triangle has formed 5-3-5-3-5 wave internals and should be considered a motive wave. Interpreting it as a correcting triangle is a bit of a stretch, but still valid. Considering this, the probability of the there scenarios has changed:
1. Yellow:
The triangle is interpreted as a leading diagonal as wave 1 of smaller degree. As this is motive wave, expect a corrective wave up to around 4000. A strong pullback below 3000 should follow as part of a wave 3. This scenario is rejected if we move above 4250.
2. Teal:
The triangle is interpreted as corrective triangle as wave B of smaller degree. Once we finish the upward zig-zag correction to around 4500 we will drop below 3000. The character of wave C in the upward zig-zag will be key in differentiating from the more bullish scenario (magenta).
3. Magenta:
The triangle is interpreted as corrective triangle as wave 2 of smaller degree. We are about to enter wave 3 which should break 5000. This scenario is rejected if we move below the recent low at 3150.
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