I have been yelling to whoever will listen and I think we have a big drop in store. Of course nobody is perfect but I have had a gut feeling about most the major turns on record and I'm getting the same now. I suck at a lot of things but I called the Feb top 2020 a day before the drop, called for a huge drop in Feb 2022, called for the December 2022 bottom, I just get these crazy feelings about major turns that just hit me in the head with a brick and I can't ignore it. The market is one giant puzzle and sometimes it just pieces itself together.
Everyone is piling into BTC and saying they're going all in with their savings, people are saying they're buying boats and quitting their jobs. I have a feeling this will end very bad, I'm starting to think the cycle won't continue to go up like it always has. It's the first time I have ever felt this and I have been in since 2013, I hate it.
Everyone says just HODL and you'll be fine, which has been the history and nothing suggests that's over yet but I think it's possible. Largest FED Fund transaction ever just as some major stocks hit major peaks. AMD hit resistance from 1984 & 2000 & Amazon looks like a possible major distribution. Fitch said recession in 2023 at the bottom in Oct 2022 and now they're saying no recession, very fishy, just kinda lines up with everything else for me to be a possible bubble top.
Also DXY is the most shorted in history, that's a very crowded trade that can whipsaw at any moment. My Cigar guy (anecdotal lol), asked how he can short equities in Oct of 2022 and said he never bought any stocks, well just yesterday he said he tried to buy his first stock but was having problems with his broker (lucky him). We have a potential Double Top as well just as the big fed fund goes through.
I don't know, maybe I'm talking crazy and I would love to see things rocket and I would buy the pullbacks but I think we could have a serious drop. I think it's better to be in cash right now personally until the dust settles and if the FEDS funds ends up being a giant cash cow buy will will break ATH's and re-test them where you can buy, it doesn't hurt to be on the sidelines at such a major intersection.
First down to 17k, then up to 29k then down to 10,985ish is the current plan.
Don't speculate or listen to the news, it's all in the charts.
Also on:
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.