looks more likely than not given the level of fear on the market right now. #btc also follows the major stock indexes which responded positively to the recent jobs report showing a scant 406k new applications for unemployment benefits, 14 month low. Given that the S2F model should remain intact with #btc continuing it's journey to 125k. The first yearly candles after the halving are huge events, with bitcoin moving from 10-1000 and 1000-10000 in the years following halving. The last halving was in 2020 and nothing has fundamentally changed in the market besides more users and institutional adopters.