Daily Market Analysis - BTC
The market cap is slightly up to 265B. Dominance is down to 68.49%. The price of Bitcoin is just above 10,100.
For those in Discord, we can see Bitcoin has been ranging between 9,700 and 10,100 on the 1-hour chart. Bitcoin needs to break above short-term resistance at 10,300.
However, indicators on the 1 & 4 hour timeframes are overbought indicating more bearish price action.
On the daily chart, we can see the stochastic RSI may be rejected at the confirmation level, which would support the idea of more short-term bearish price action.
I would watch for a bounce off of the support area. Markets are becoming irrationally oversold seemingly due to participants reacting to the current price action as if we were in the same bear market of 2018.
In other words, the market is emotionally connecting the pullbacks in the market with the bearish action from last year, despite the uptrend. Market cycles point to this stage as disbelief, which is further supported by the Bitcoin fear and greed index.
Lastly, we can see a conflict of indicators on the weekly charts. The stochasticRSI has almost hit it's range-bound bottom (blue circle), and the last time we had a bullish crossover on the stochastic RSI, we saw an increase of ~326%. Another ~326% increase would mean a high of ~39,113.
However, the MACD is also at a bearish crossover point (red circle), and the Kumo on points to a possible end of the year low nearing 6,500.
These two technical extremes mean we are at a critical point, a break below the support zone could mean a possible panic sell followed by a large bounce, which would correspond with the Bitcoin halving.
Bearish: Failure to break above 10,300 could point to a pullback in the support zone between 8,800-9,300.
Bullish: If the price is able to find support above 10,300, the next points of resistance are 10,900 - 11,300.
Bearish 55% / Bullish 45%
For those in Discord, we can see Bitcoin has been ranging between 9,700 and 10,100 on the 1-hour chart. Bitcoin needs to break above short-term resistance at 10,300.
However, indicators on the 1 & 4 hour timeframes are overbought indicating more bearish price action.
On the daily chart, we can see the stochastic RSI may be rejected at the confirmation level, which would support the idea of more short-term bearish price action.
I would watch for a bounce off of the support area. Markets are becoming irrationally oversold seemingly due to participants reacting to the current price action as if we were in the same bear market of 2018.
In other words, the market is emotionally connecting the pullbacks in the market with the bearish action from last year, despite the uptrend. Market cycles point to this stage as disbelief, which is further supported by the Bitcoin fear and greed index.
Lastly, we can see a conflict of indicators on the weekly charts. The stochasticRSI has almost hit it's range-bound bottom (blue circle), and the last time we had a bullish crossover on the stochastic RSI, we saw an increase of ~326%. Another ~326% increase would mean a high of ~39,113.
However, the MACD is also at a bearish crossover point (red circle), and the Kumo on points to a possible end of the year low nearing 6,500.
These two technical extremes mean we are at a critical point, a break below the support zone could mean a possible panic sell followed by a large bounce, which would correspond with the Bitcoin halving.
Bearish: Failure to break above 10,300 could point to a pullback in the support zone between 8,800-9,300.
Bullish: If the price is able to find support above 10,300, the next points of resistance are 10,900 - 11,300.
Bearish 55% / Bullish 45%
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