Since inception bitcoin had the following pattern:
- 3 years bull market (Green area), 1 year bear market (Red area)
- 3 years bull market (Green area), 1 year bear market (Red area)
- 3 years bull market (Green area), 1 year bear market (Red area)
The Bitcoin post halving pump is a crowded trade.
We posit that the last 4 year cycle will be the reverse.
1 year bull market followed by a 3 years bear market.
Note:
This thesis is the 16 year market cycle theory. The Dotcom Bubble had a similar 16 year cycle. It is also part of a larger 51.6 years cycle theory.