In this chart we see the 4th Fib-Time based concept for Bitcoin. We take a simple approach in this chart, in comparison to my other concepts which are linked below. I published this chart because the results suggested that we are currently in the DCA out phase and that it ends in 30 weeks, somewhere around Oct 2025. The placement of these fib times are in pre ATH peaks, that start from 2012 pre launch into 2013 ATH and they continue again into 2016 pre launch of 2017's ATH and so on.
Without going to in-depth the signposts label DCA in and out phases. For 3 cycles they have been decently placed. However, we cannot discount that we do not need to repeat this pattern, we could be on the road to something very different. Although, the low in 2022 did fall within this period yet again.
Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish (short-term), cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring.
This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want.
Key Takeaways:
- It appears that in times to DCA out, the price exhausts towards the end of the signposts. Where as for times of DCA in, the price typically has made its low right from the start of the signpost.
- Both zones are about a year in time, but the bear market extends much longer during the peak bullish periods.
- We are currently reaching the 0.272 in a the next few weeks, which is the fib-time between where we are now. This could cause some volatility.
This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
Without going to in-depth the signposts label DCA in and out phases. For 3 cycles they have been decently placed. However, we cannot discount that we do not need to repeat this pattern, we could be on the road to something very different. Although, the low in 2022 did fall within this period yet again.
Importantly, this is not a price prediction or estimation, nor does it offer an overall bearish or bullish take. Although the outlook seems bullish (short-term), cycles can play out over the years, and we may not have seen Bitcoin's final cycle just yet. This is why this is an alternative concept to others I have been exploring.
This merely presents a conceptual analysis of Bitcoin's time and cycles to date, highlighting key pivotal points worth watching for. Timing can be just as crucial as managing risk. Having a plan to correlate these factors allows you to spend less time watching charts and more time enjoying whatever you want.
Key Takeaways:
- It appears that in times to DCA out, the price exhausts towards the end of the signposts. Where as for times of DCA in, the price typically has made its low right from the start of the signpost.
- Both zones are about a year in time, but the bear market extends much longer during the peak bullish periods.
- We are currently reaching the 0.272 in a the next few weeks, which is the fib-time between where we are now. This could cause some volatility.
This is purely a concept and not financial advice. I apologise for the resolution. A screenshot can be viewed here:
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.