Long

Bitcoin price prediction 2019-2022.

Updated

My viewpoint, everything is only for fun.

Based on previous cycle and fundamentals. Simple as a rock: 1 year accumulation in 2019, halving in ~ 2020 May, bull run starts. Peak top around 300k$, then pop and elevator down to 60-30k$. Rinse and repeat. Chart is printed and hanging on my wall. ;)

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Road to Moon... Those lines are here to be beaten. It seems, growth is accelerated. But a healthy pullback needed to go on climbing.

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I cant post images, so just bah.

Main resistance levels:

9300$
9900$
11360$
13770$
17300$
19200$
...

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13764$ was the exact top in this epic run. A healthy retracement is on the way. I think 9500-9700 might be the bottom, or if we close above 11400$ on the weekly, the run continues upwards. A little sideways would be great in July.

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Might bounce here from 9700$ zone, volume is picking up. Adding to my longs here, no SL.

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New idea based on last weeks / months fundamentals and TA: we may test ATH in a few weeks, then rocket to 90k$ before Christmas.

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Coming again for the 13770$ resistance. We might break it this time. Long is still active from 9700$.

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If we break 13770$ this time (we need to close daily above it) then there is literally no resistance till 17300$. But! Breaking ATH will be hard imho.

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It seems that CME gap will be filled from 8400$. If so, I add to my longs from 8500$. Need to break below 9300$ to prepare my order. Sometimes gaps dont fill so this drop might be the same fear like in the stockmarket now.

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Market is slow, volume i slow. Not doing anything til confimation: price must break out from the triangle, probably ending in first half of September 2019. My plan stays the same, if we break below 9000-9300$ I add to my longs from 8500$. If we break above 11300$, plan goes on as intended.

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[Note: alts are waking up]

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Note: alts are waking up.

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Might see another leg down to 7600$ but I stick to my plan, adding another long and buying spot here at ~8500$. Gap filled at last as mentioned in August.

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It seems, front running was a good idea at these levels around. I missed the exact bottom by ~ 130$, nevermind, I bought spot near 8500$ and added another long now from 8200$ with low leverage. The Tether FUD might reversed the downtrend. Weird, isn't it?

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I wonder if the Tether FUD will cause another BTC run up or not. If you were in TUSD, where would you flee? I would go into BTC and alts.

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Wow the Facebook hearing had huge impact on BTC too, who would have thought it... Anyways, 7500$ is crucial level here, if it breaks down and daily closes below that, 6700$ is next. I bought spot at 7600$. Longs are doing well, I have low leveraged positions, I am not afraid if we go to 6700$. In the long term, it doesn't matter if I bought at 7600$ or 6700$, I still believe BTC will make new ATH next year.

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Holy shit! Those candles!!! 40% upward movement in 24 hours! This is called volatility, chinese goverment granted the FOMO. So no "we ban BTC" anyomore?...

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So no ATH in 2019. Too bad, we go the boring way then towards the breakout. Ascending direction on high timeframe, but lot of choppy sideways, breakdowns and ups, volatility, stophunts. From now on, I only buy spot on larger dips, low-leveraged longs running from 3900$ Feb 2019 are doing great, have some positions from 7-9000$ zone underwater at the moment but nothing serious. Plan remains in place: waiting for new ATH first, then we will see.

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So this pandemic did a "great" job for the markets overall. Luckily BTC doesnt care too much, already recovered from the low 4000$ and back to 9000$ already. My positions were down, but longs from 3900$ last year saved the account. It was hell of a ride with overwhelming emotions and sweating. This move almost made me liquidate my positions. Anyways, we need to break from this 8500-9200$ range now, reclaim 9800$ and close the weekly above that to confirm the tendline breakout from last year coming down from 13000$ zone. Waiting for halving, I dont know what will happen. Taking some alt positions also, several "OG" coins breaking out from the lows from 2018 and.

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Daily downtrend from 20000$ ATH finally broken, breakout to 12000$, retest to 10000$ done, we have a higher low and higher high. All time high inevitable from now. Clearing 13770$ is essential to continue the climb. Liquidated some of my altcoin positions, profits and losses were taken. I am feeling great about all of this.

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Price is 18600$ at the moment. ATH may come in a few days. So exciting times!

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Well, happy new year and ATH to everyone! What a december we had! And 2021 starts great!

Closed now half my leveraged longs at 35000$. Spot is still on, riding the rollercoaster up and down until my longterm target (75000-100000$).

Dont forget to take some profit off the table, this can get ugly if drops.

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31500$ is holding steadily. A few spikes down, but seems strong. This is not similar to the famous "6k wont break down" pattern. Macro and market is different now, big players are defending their positions. Lets range a few more days (1-2 weeks) without serious breakdown and I will be adding longs again. Worst case scenario: spot bids at 24500$.

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Bought spot at this 35000$ breakout. ATH (41900$) retest incoming in a few days. It seems the stock market fiasco (GME) is transferring big money into crypto.

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What a time to be alive! That Tesla report! 1.5B$ went into BTC! I thought we climb up slowly to retest 42000$ ATH, instead of it, we shot to the Moon!. Next stop is about 52-57000$.

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Still riding the spot from 35000$. Second correction is done, we will see new ATH above 58000$ soon. Going to close all leveraged positions around 75000$ and surfing the waves with spot only.

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Looking forward for a new ATH in the next 1-2 weeks. We had a small correction after 61700$, Deribit options expired a few days ago, higher lows and highs already made on the 4h chart. Need to break 57000$ first. I think if we break this level, we will see a very volatile upward movement.

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Well, only 5x from now to reach that 300k$. Macro tells we can make it. What a stupid world are we living in...

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Closed everything at this double top. Only holding spot until blow-off top (150k+). This can happen faster than we think, in 2-3 months. We will see.

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Started to buy some more spot, slowly. Everything near these 25000$ - 35000$ levels seems fine for me now. Target remains 150000$+ for spot. Might open some low leveraged longs soon.

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I think the bottom is in near 20800$ now. Lets range for a bit now with some volatility. I bought spot and opened an 1:5 long with stop at 18k$.

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Okay, that long was nuked by 300$ argh. Nevermind, spot on, bottom was in I think. I had an almost perfect entry.

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I think this is the bottom for now, and we start ranging for a while between 18000$ - 25000$. A few months of accummulation then slowly climbing upwards. I went all in SPOT. Not opening leveraged positions yet.

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SP500 might break up, pulling crypto with it. Time to pay attention now. I will wait a break-retest for a leveraged entry.

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Bought spot again. It seems, accumulation period finally arrived.

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Be aware! Dont chase the bottom! You might be right one time but wrong 100 times. I was also wrong before.

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SP500, BTC retest done, SVG bailout announced. Everything is a fkup, inflation, war, macro, stupid decisions, QE again etc. But hey, we are here to make money. Well, it's time for me to turn on degen mode. Let's go bulls. I will be only posting next time when I am stopped out or TP hit.

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Price is not 22500$ BTC / 1600$ ETH.

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Price is **now** 22500$ BTC / 1600$ ETH. WTB edit button.

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Happy ATH everyone! I hope you made it! Now let's start the party!

TwinkleBit

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