Hi Guys!
So lets take a look at the Daily chart here.
Looks like Shit, I know - BUT There is a positive takeaway.
If we look back at the charts over the course of the past 365 days we see a trend that has repeated itself , quite expectedly on 4 other occasions. So the question is:
DOES HISTORY REPEAT ITSELF?
The LOWER Yellow line is a support line from which BTC has bounced. So how do we know the bottom is in?
1. Bitcoin has defended VERY well at 5900+
2. Each time BTC has touched the BOTTOM of the BOLLINGER BAND (yellow arrow) AND that touch has correlated with an OVERSOLD STOCH (yellow circle) we have bounced
back to an uptrend.
This FACT has held true since Jan and I see no reason for it to NOT continue.
WHERE DO I SEE THE BOTTOM?
$6080-$6120
WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?
Well I fell 90% confident we will bounce off this bottom in the next 48 hours and head back to 7k. BUT we need volume!!!!
Now comes the interesting part. IF we break $5900, we will go to 5K and the likelihood of a further retract picks up exponentially. However I do not see that happening...
WHY?
Lots of reasons.
1. I see Bitcoin as being in a downward Elliot Wave and this squeeze should pop to the upside. Why????....
2. Bitcoin has almost ALWSY supported its price at or above the price to mine 1 BTC (Currently $5800-ish)
3. BAAKT is kicking off on Oct/Nov and they will have a daily settled ETF. This may not have an immediate impact ton the price but it will open the floodgates of trust for institution investors and the SEC should be able to use the BAKKT ETF as a beta-test that they do not have to be accountable (directly) for.
4. Did we see the NEW SEC Commissioner? Hes bullish on Crpyto. That makes 2 of 5 and likely the extra push we need to get ETFS approved.
5. Unplug from the Matrix and look around. Bitcoin is becoming MUCH more widely known and accepted as a part of life (Hell Walmart is selling BTC Coin candy) and while I am under no illusion that that will change the price of the asset, it does speak to the fact that more exposure, means more adoption and more (slow to enter) money.
6. There is a tremendous amount of Financial institutions that are exploring,. launching or working on a blockchain enterprise solution. This will further spread the value behind blockchain and , thereby the Godfather of them all Bitcoin.
7. We are seeing a massive exit of get rich quick money and now slow-n-stead accumulation is happening.
8. Ok, this was longer than 1 minute. and YES I am bullish on BTC so my charting may be biased. This is not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts.
If you like it, please give a thumbs up and leave a comment!
Love to hear what my fellow Cryptowarriors have to say!