Hello dear crypto friends, hope you're doing well guys! ;)
After the false break at 10,8 BTC saw a huge sell off. One of our Slack group members asked if it was manipulation. I'm gonna give you the same answer here: Any move in this market, any big decision, is made by institutionals, by bigger pockets. They'll give the direction, and retail traders will follow. In that sense everything is a 'manipulation' ;) => Our job is always to follow the whales, in order to make our profit as small fish! ;)
The sell off didn't come immediately: We could see the failing follow-through of the bulls with a very nice Doji & Evening Star reversal: If you got triggered into a position at 10,820 as I was, you had plenty of time, even an Hourly higher Low, to let yourself stop out at almost break-even.
What is the stage now?
BTC sneaked back into the Equilibrium range of the previous Bull Flag, but the burden of proof is on the bulls: They have to hold the bottom at 10,4k in order to see continuation.
On the Daily chart, we have the psychology of an inverse H&S through the U-turn, even though the right shoulder is clearly one floor above the potential left shoulder:
=> All in all, it is about seeing a clear break above 10,8 for the bulls to basically come to the important highs on the Weekly *MAJOR* Bull Flag that we had analyzed on Friday:
If we can end the Weekly candle with the current price action, the bulls will have the chance to further tighten & eventually break the Bull Flag with the target of All Time Highs. The bear break case will come at 9,5.
If you had some value from my analysis, give it a thumbs-up & comment it, because the mechanism shows my analysis to other people then. Make also sure to follow me so you get notified on my analyses! I wish you a good trading! :)
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