BTCUSDT Perpetual Contract
Short
Updated

Bitcoin - Bulls in trouble: 81k next?

4 913
BTC Loses Bullish Structure – What Comes Next?

Bitcoin has officially broken below the bullish trendline, closing underneath it for the first time in this recent uptrend. This is a key shift in market structure, as the ascending trendline had previously acted as strong dynamic support, keeping Bitcoin in a steady climb. Now that we have seen a clean break, the momentum appears to be shifting toward a deeper retracement, and the price is heading toward the next major support zone.

Whenever a trendline like this is broken, it signals that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels. Instead of continuing the pattern of higher lows, Bitcoin is now moving lower, seeking stronger levels where buyers might step back in. The question now is whether the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement zone, combined with a historically strong support level, will be enough to hold the price up and trigger a reversal.

Golden Pocket Support at $81.2K – A Key Bounce Zone

The next major area of interest is the golden pocket retracement zone, which aligns perfectly with the strong support around $81.2K. This is an area where Fibonacci traders and institutional buyers tend to look for entries, as the 0.618 – 0.65 Fibonacci levels have historically been some of the most reliable support zones during retracements.

What makes this level even more significant is the confluence of technical factors coming together at the same price range. Not only does this level align with the golden pocket, but it has also been a major historical support in previous price action. Every time Bitcoin has visited this range in recent weeks, we have seen strong buy-side reactions. If buyers step in once again, this could be the turning point for another leg to the upside.

If we see a bounce from this zone, Bitcoin could attempt a recovery back toward $ 83K – $85K, potentially regaining its footing and re-entering a more bullish structure. However, the strength of the reaction at $81.2K will be crucial in determining whether this is just a short-term relief bounce or the start of another major uptrend.

What If Bitcoin Fails to Hold $81.2K?

While the golden pocket is often a high-probability reversal zone, it’s important to consider the bearish scenario as well. If Bitcoin fails to hold this level, we could be in for an even deeper retracement. The next major downside target would be around $79.3K, which lines up with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.

A move to $79.3K would indicate that Bitcoin needs a larger correction before it can regain bullish momentum. This wouldn’t necessarily mean that the bull market is over, but it would suggest that the uptrend needs a deeper reset before resuming. A drop this low would likely shake out weak hands and allow larger players to accumulate before any potential reversal.

If Bitcoin does move down to this level, the market reaction will be key. A strong bounce from $79.3K could set up a powerful recovery, but a failure to hold would raise concerns about a larger trend shift. Losing this level would open the door for even deeper downside, meaning traders would need to be cautious about the broader market outlook.

Final thoughts

Now that Bitcoin has broken the trendline, all eyes are on how it interacts with this next major support zone. If the $81.2K level holds, we could see a strong reaction and a push back toward higher levels, reestablishing confidence in the market. However, if we lose this level, the next stop at $79.3K will become the last major line of defense before a more significant correction unfolds.

The next few 4-hour candles will be crucial in determining whether buyers are ready to step in or if we need to prepare for a deeper move down. Will the golden pocket be enough to stop the drop, or is Bitcoin setting up for an extended retracement? We’ll find out soon!

__________________________________________

Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀

Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Trade active
Price is still dropping, we are almost at the target!
Trade closed: target reached
Bitcoin hit my profit target on the golden pocket zone

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.