BTCUSDT โ€“ Absorption in progress...

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๐Ÿ“Š BTCUSDT โ€“ Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump?

Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS),
but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Open Interest is rising sharply
๐ŸŸข CVD Futures & Spot are both rising โ†’ real buying pressure
๐Ÿ”ด Funding remains negative
๐Ÿ“Š 85% of open positions are longs
๐Ÿ‹ Top traders are massively short
๐Ÿงฑ โžค Clear absorption: price goes upโ€ฆ but someone is selling into it hard

๐ŸŽฏ Current hypothesis:
๐Ÿง  Longs are being absorbed,
suggesting a short-term rejection is likely,
but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5โ€“93.5k) to:

Hunt liquidity

Trigger stop losses

Finalize the short trap

๐Ÿ“Œ Trade plan:
โœ… Spike above the swing high
โœ… Final absorption / wick trap
โœ… Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8โ€“78.6%)

โ— Rule: donโ€™t front-run โ€“ wait for confirmation:

Sharp rejection after the spike

Spot CVD divergence

Loss of structure + drop in OI

โš–๏ธ The market is tense.
We are likely between the top of absorptionโ€ฆ and the beginning of the flush.
Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation.

๐Ÿ”ฝFr๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿ“Š BTCUSDT โ€“ Absorption en cours

Le prix รฉvolue dans une structure haussiรจre propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validรฉ,
mais les dessous du marchรฉ rรฉvรจlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Open Interest en forte hausse
๐ŸŸข CVD Futures & Spot haussiers โ†’ pression acheteuse rรฉelle
๐Ÿ”ด Funding nรฉgatif persistant
๐Ÿ“Š 85 % de longues sur le marchรฉ (Kingfisher)
๐Ÿ‹ Top traders en short massif
๐Ÿงฑ โžค Absorption claire : le prix monteโ€ฆ mais la contrepartie absorbe tout

๐ŸŽฏ Hypothรจse actuelle :
๐Ÿง  Une absorption des longs est en cours,
ce qui laisse penser quโ€™un rejet est probable ร  court terme,
mais avant cela, le marchรฉ pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5โ€“93.5k) pour :

Chercher la liquiditรฉ

Dรฉclencher les stops vendeurs

Finir le short trap

๐Ÿ“Œ Plan envisagรฉ :
โœ… Spike au-dessus du swing high
โœ… Absorption finale / mรจche piรฉgeuse
โœ… Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8โ€“78.6 %)

โ— Rรจgle : ne pas anticiper โ€“ attendre confirmation :

Rejet brutal aprรจs le spike

Divergence CVD Spot

Perte de structure + chute OI

โš–๏ธ Le marchรฉ est tendu.
On est probablement entre le haut de lโ€™absorptionโ€ฆ et le dรฉbut de la purge.
Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.



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