BTC - In depth analysis leading up to the FOMC decision today!
BTC Price Action Analysis Ahead of the Fed Decision
In this analysis, we will discuss the current price action of BTC leading up to the Federal Reserve's rate decision later today.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to release its rate decision and Dot Plot. Following this, Jerome Powell will hold a press conference. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the current federal funds rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision aligns with the Fed's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties, particularly those stemming from recent trade policies and tariff implementations by the Trump administration.
Investors and market participants are eagerly awaiting the Fed’s updated economic projections, which will offer insights into the central bank’s outlook on growth, inflation, and employment. These projections will be crucial in assessing how the Fed plans to navigate current economic challenges.
4H BTC Chart Analysis
Currently, BTC is forming a tightening consolidation pattern, characterized by equal highs and higher lows. This suggests that BTC could potentially break to the upside by taking out liquidity above resistance. There are numerous stop-loss orders accumulating just above this resistance level. If BTC manages to trigger these stop-losses, it is likely to revisit the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65).
Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI is rapidly rising towards the overbought zone, indicating that if BTC reaches the Golden Pocket, we could see a retracement from that level. The overall price action remains bearish until BTC clears the 92k level.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, BTC’s price action remains bearish until a higher high above 92K is established. During this correction, BTC has formed a clear downward trendline. We need to wait for a breakout above this trendline and 92K before considering long setups on higher timeframes.
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart is also moving into the overbought zone, indicating that BTC’s momentum may peak in the coming days, potentially leading to downside pressure. Because of this, the 73K support zone remains a key level to watch.
For now, a temporary bounce could occur, but further downside remains likely. Traders should focus on risk management when opening long positions at these levels.
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In this analysis, we will discuss the current price action of BTC leading up to the Federal Reserve's rate decision later today.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to release its rate decision and Dot Plot. Following this, Jerome Powell will hold a press conference. Analysts expect the Federal Reserve to maintain the current federal funds rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision aligns with the Fed's cautious approach amid ongoing economic uncertainties, particularly those stemming from recent trade policies and tariff implementations by the Trump administration.
Investors and market participants are eagerly awaiting the Fed’s updated economic projections, which will offer insights into the central bank’s outlook on growth, inflation, and employment. These projections will be crucial in assessing how the Fed plans to navigate current economic challenges.
4H BTC Chart Analysis
Currently, BTC is forming a tightening consolidation pattern, characterized by equal highs and higher lows. This suggests that BTC could potentially break to the upside by taking out liquidity above resistance. There are numerous stop-loss orders accumulating just above this resistance level. If BTC manages to trigger these stop-losses, it is likely to revisit the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 - 0.65).
Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI is rapidly rising towards the overbought zone, indicating that if BTC reaches the Golden Pocket, we could see a retracement from that level. The overall price action remains bearish until BTC clears the 92k level.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, BTC’s price action remains bearish until a higher high above 92K is established. During this correction, BTC has formed a clear downward trendline. We need to wait for a breakout above this trendline and 92K before considering long setups on higher timeframes.
The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart is also moving into the overbought zone, indicating that BTC’s momentum may peak in the coming days, potentially leading to downside pressure. Because of this, the 73K support zone remains a key level to watch.
For now, a temporary bounce could occur, but further downside remains likely. Traders should focus on risk management when opening long positions at these levels.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
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BTC is on his way to the GP and taking out all the upside liquidity. Watch out for a possible rejection from that level. 
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.