Bitcoin Remains In Downtrend, Risk of Drop Below $20K

The price of bitcoin had dropped dangerously close to the 2017 cycle peak on Wednesday. It was a brutal decline for investors who watched their BTC portfolios incur losses after losses. Speculations were rampant in the space on what a touch below $20,000 would have meant for the market. The implications were abundant in their impact but the recovery back above $21,000 has staved off the bears, even if only for a little while.

Later, bitcoin price attempted a fresh increase above the $22,000 level. However, the bears were active near the $22,800 and $23,000 levels. A high was formed near $22,950 and the price started a fresh decline. There was a clear move below the $21,500 level and the price settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near $20,200 and the price is now attempting an upside correction.

There was a move above the $20,500 resistance level. Bitcoin is now testing the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $22,950 high to $20,200 low. There is also a new connecting bearish trend line forming. The first major resistance is near the $21,550 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $22,950 high to $20,200 low is also near the $21,550 level. Any more gains might send the price towards the $22,300 level or the 100 hourly simple moving average. The main resistance is still near the $23,000 level.

If bitcoin fails to clear the $22,000 resistance zone and the trend line, it could start a fresh decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $20,200 level. The next major support is near the $20,000 level. A downside break below the $20,000 support could spark a sharp decline. In the stated case, the price could test $18,800.

Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI is now near the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $20,200, followed by $20,000.
Major Resistance Levels – $21,550, $22,300 and $23,000.

DISCLAIMER: The analysis of cryptocurrencies in real-time should be taken for informational purposes only, and in no case should it be taken as an investment signal. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
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