🅱️ Higher Probability For Additional Correction Or A New High?
Let's look between the lines...
There is always a large amount of data available from the charts.
Each day, each hour, each minute, lots of clues can be extracted regarding the state of the market.
We can always figure out what's coming if we look deep enough.
We can surely figure out with a high level of accuracy what is going to happen next if we interpret the data correctly.
👉 Bitcoin is set to continue lower but what is the evidence supporting this claim?
We have a large amount of signals such as a weak RSI, high bear volume and the relationship between price action and the EMAs, but we are not going to look into those today. Let's focus on a different pattern...
Bitcoin finally moved above 40,000 4-December 2023 after almost two years trading below this price level.
When we have a consolidation phase, price action remains close to resistance.
For example, 24-October Bitcoin moved above 35,000 and remained close to this level only to continue rising.
11-September Bitcoin hits a low around 25,000 and then moves up always challenging resistance, close to resistance as a new high shows up.
This is the dynamic when a new high is about to take place... Prices stay at or near to resistance, with the biggest distance being 15% away from the peak but normally between 5-8%.
Bitcoin peaked 12-January at ~49,000 and we haven't seen a challenge of this level, not even close.
After a month long distribution phase we had a major drop and the current price, while looking strong (40K), is still 18% below the recent top.
This is the giveaway signal...
This is the only confirmation that we need to know that Bitcoin is set to produce a new low.
If we were set to experience a new high, a higher high, Bitcoin would be trading around 44,000 and 45,000 with wicks and swings into the 46,000 and 48,000 price range. Through the days we would see challenges of the last high as this resistance weakens and finally breaks; This is not the situation we have today.
The current price action is not even close to 49k, the highest close happened at 46,981 on January 8.
The fact that Bitcoin's price is dropping means we are going lower... Just a little bit more data to support my bias...
Do you agree? What's your opinion?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.