Disclaimer: I don't think this cycle's top is in yet.
We have been ranging between 91k and 107k for a couple of months now. If we're printing a reaccumulation pattern, then this is what could happen.
The daily 200MA should be around 80k and help support the fall by the ~23rd of February.
Also, the recovery after the spring could take longer, so don't take the path I drew in yellow too seriously.