BTC/USDT July Outlook: Road to 116K or a Trap Below?

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The current structure shows Bitcoin consolidating after a strong bounce off the June lows. We’re now forming a potential bullish continuation pattern within a clear rising channel (dashed yellow lines), but the price is currently testing a mid-channel liquidity zone around $108,000–$110,000.

Key observations:

  • Local resistance zone: $111,980 (marked ATH) – a major liquidity magnet that could trigger a squeeze if broken.
  • Support range: $106,000–$103,000 – strong confluence zone if price rejects current structure.
  • Potential fakeout: Liquidity dip down to the $98,200–$95,500 zone is possible before a mid-July reversal (highlighted yellow path and vertical time marker on July 18).


Upside target: The upper channel boundary and projected fib confluence points to a bullish target of $116,722 by mid-to-late July.

Invalidations:

Sustained break below $95,000 could negate the bullish structure and push us into deeper correction territory.

Timing: The key date to watch is around July 18, where multiple structural lines and projection paths converge.

What’s your bias for July? Trap and rip… or stairway to 117K?

#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #LiquidityZones #BTCJulyOutlook

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