Risk: Medium
Please be advised that this is only an idea, so you are responsible for any losses yourself.
Dear followers,
In a bullish market, everyone thinks they are a good trader. It could be more difficult to make money in this market in the coming years. Don't get me wrong. In the long term, I am still bullish about the crypto market, but I do have my doubts about the Bitcoin. It would not surprise me that Bitcoin is no longer "The King" this year and that another crypto with better technology takes over the place. This could very well be Ethereum as an example. This chart looks better then BTC, but it could also be another currency. If bitcoin goes to $ 5000,- this scenario could happen within a few months. Personally, I don't have a long position in BTC since we broke support 1.
I know that a lot of people are bullish about BTC, no problem, but I'm not. As you can see, we are trading in a new channel downwards. In my previous ideas I mentioned strong support levels twice. After breaking strong support (1) we saw big red candle. I warned a second time in my previous BTC-idea that a close below support 2, might trigger a pull back towards $9900,- and it happened. Now, I see a lot of $20.000,- predictions of traders here again. Let's see who will be right. Our next strong support line is (A). We already tested it once during the crash, but we closed above it. A close below this support line (A). Will trigger a quick pullback towards the 200ma. (Around 5000). Before we will test our new support line (A), we might see a recovery towards $15.000. If this happens I will open short short positions again, like I did in my previous idea with a SL above the channel line. We will have a low risk then and a great profit potential. Even if support A holds.
Short: At the top of the channel line.
Profit targets:
- Bottom of trend channel
- 7500 (Just to secure profits)
- 200ma (around 5000 now)
SL: Above channel line
I'm sorry for the Bitcoin lovers and good luck!
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Questions? Feel free to ask and your feedback is welcome!