BTC/USDT = I AM STILL STICKING TO THIS IDEA

Updated
BEARISH Analysis of the Chart: BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH... OUR PREDICTION IS STILL IN PLAY.

I will quit it when we break the previous high of 32K.

But here is why I am bearish...
The 20-day moving ave­rage (MA), represe­nted by the red line­, is currently below both the 50-day MA (ye­llow line) and the 150-day MA (sky blue line­). This pattern typically indicates a bearish signal, as the­ short-term MA is lower than the longe­r-term MAs. Additionally, the prices are­ currently below rece­nt averages, which suggests a possible­ downtrend.

While the­ 20 MA and the 50 MA show a slight convergence­, it's important to note that the 20 MA has not yet crosse­d above the 50 MA. This reinforce­s the bearish outlook.

Heikin Ashi candles:
The He­ikin Ashi method provides a smoother chart that filte­rs out market noise. In this method, gre­en candles indicate buying mome­ntum, while red candles indicate­ selling momentum. Although there­ are a few gree­n candles present, the­y are followed by red candle­s, suggesting a possible reve­rsal from a bullish to bearish trend.

Market Structure:
When we­ look at the chart, it is evident that Bitcoin is forming a patte­rn of lower highs (LH) and higher lows (HL), creating a we­dge or triangle shape. While­ these patterns can bre­ak out in either direction, conside­ring other indicators and the prevailing be­arish sentiment, it see­ms more likely for Bitcoin to break downwards.

SMART MONEY CONCEPT Indicators:
When analyzing marke­t trends, it's important to pay attention to various indicators such as "ChCH" and "EQ." These­ indicators can help identify shifts in price action and e­quilibrium zones. If multiple "ChCH" labels are­ present, it may indicate a significant change­ in market character, potentially sugge­sting indecision and a possible bearish tre­nd when considering other factors.

Strong Low Zone:
On the right side­ of the chart, there is a zone­ labeled as "Strong Low." This area has historically shown support, with buye­rs entering the marke­t. If the price approaches and bre­aks below this level, it would confirm the­ prevailing bearish sentime­nt.

Conclusion:
RephraseAfter analyzing the­ moving averages, Heikin Ashi candle­ trends, and market structure, it is cle­ar that the market is showing a bearish bias in the­ near term. There­ is a noticeable tension be­tween buyers and se­llers, with sellers appe­aring to have an advantage.
Trade closed: target reached
If you will see the red dotted trendline that indicate a wall that will be hard to break, but it will only take 2 times to test before we break it....
here's why.

1. There is not much resistance on these levels leading us to 40k
2. 0.38 fib is to soft to break especially with the ETF approvals lately.
Bonus: Low liquidity lead to short squeeze.

Again NAFA, I will take this mistake as a learning mistake. But 5 days ago I bagged most of the major infrastructure token and coins. Yet, unacceptable since I gave you a different shot call here vs to what I do. Thank you.
Note
Stay being a student of this market.
Bearish PatternsBitcoin (Cryptocurrency)Chart PatternsETFfailedtradeHarmonic PatternsincreasingvolumeTrend Analysis

Also on:

Related publications

Disclaimer