There is alot pointing towards a bullish move here, most notably the ascending triangle pattern, the perceived incoming rejection for DXY, USDT Dominance breaking down on pennant and ALT market cap showing a bull flag. All of these factors are suggesting some bullish pressure to come in. BTC is holding its local trendline support and formed a new ascending trendline support. There is still a huge macro trendline resistance to breakthrough which means this push will not likely be sustained but targets of 22k - 23K seem quite achievable. There incoming 20 DEMA and 200 EMA is not ideal. There is also finally some nice well spread out and consistent bullish news circulating with strong applications to money into market that further enhances a break up chance.
On the bear side, a break down of around 21.2k would be really bad news for bulls and the same old targets of 20.8k down to 20k are what will be looking realistic in the short term.
Otherwise coming to the end of the consolidation now so biggish move expected.
Technical Analysis Bullish Factors: +HullMA is turning bullish + USDT Dominance broken down on pennant + Alt Market Cap in a bull flag + Holding local trend support + DXY looking like a big rejection incoming + Bullish Weekly Pivot + Ascending Triangle formed
EXCHANGE: + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure.
MINERS: / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. Moderately selling Last Value: -0.88430103 24H%: +6%
/ Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. Moderate revenue Last Value: 0.61491857 24H%: +20%
ON-CHAIN: + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. Realizing loss Last Value: 0.98419828 24H%: +1%
+ Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins Low long-term holders' movement Last Value: 0 24H%: -
- Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Capitulation phase where they are currently facing unrealized losses. It indicates the decreasing motive to realize loss which leads to a decrease in sell pressure. Captulation Last Value: -0.00900459 24H%: -43%
- Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by -78.00% compared to yesterday. - Active Addresses - The number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by -20.00% compared to yesterday. - Transactions - The total number of transactions has decreased by -23.00% compared to yesterday.
INVESTOR SENTIMENT - Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively weak in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment.
DERIVATIVES - Funding Rate - Short position traders are dominant and are willing to pay long traders. Last Value: -0.00641179 24H%: -1,543%
+ Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Buying sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More buy orders are filled by takers. Buy: 0.55464148 Sell: 0.44535852
/ Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend Last Value: 8,572,156,239.51 24H%: +1% 7D%: -8%
+ Liquidation - 9109325.51 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Long: 8,308,068.08 Short: 9,109,325.51
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