Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Bitcoin’s finally back above $100K, but will this rally keep charging forward? 😊 In this idea, we’re diving into Bitcoin across multiple timeframes, hunting for spot and futures triggers, and wrapping up with a look at BTC dominance. Let’s kick things off with the Weekly Timeframe. 📊
Weekly Timeframe: The Big Picture
As I’ve mentioned in previous episodes, the major trend is still a solid uptrend. Why? Per Dow Theory, we’re consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Plus, volume backs this up—rallies come with heavy volume, while corrections see lighter volume. Corrections haven’t even touched the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level, which all points to the uptrend staying strong. Honestly, I’m not selling my spot holdings right now—this trend’s too good! Let’s zoom into the Daily Timeframe for spot triggers.
Daily Timeframe: Spot Triggers
Our previous spot trigger was a buy above $88,500, and since it activated, it’s delivered about 18% profit so far—nice! A quick note: if your capital or risk management is too aggressive, please scale back to stay in profit. If you hit a stop loss, risk no more than 2-3% of your total capital—no more. Now, let’s analyze the chart. Over the past four weeks, we’ve kicked off a solid uptrend, and the corrections feel healthy. Volume’s increasing, showing the trend’s got power. After hitting resistance at $105,000, it looks like we’re gearing up for a correction after a three-wave uptrend. Keep this in mind: $107,000 is a major resistance and could be a great spot trigger. If we break $107,000, go long with a stop loss below $88,000, risking max 3%. That’s a solid setup. Let’s move to the 4-Hour Timeframe.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Our previous long trigger at $85,850 was a banger—if you watched the video and went long with 10x leverage, you’re up about 200%. Congrats if you caught it! 🙌 Moving forward, I’ll share some new long and short triggers that could be useful. For a long setup, we need to see a reaction at $105,000 again, then break that resistance to open a long. But keep your risk low because we’ve got a major resistance at $107,000 looming, and the odds of getting stopped out are higher. I’m saying this now so you don’t complain later! In these conditions, don’t obsess over confirmations from indicators like RSI. Movements are sharp, and by the time you wait for a confirmation, the price has already moved. Stick to your main triggers to open positions. For short setups, I’ve got nothing right now. We’re in a strong bullish trend without even a hint of weakness, so I see no reason to go short. Let any sharp pullback pass first, then we can open shorts with confidence if bearish momentum kicks in. Don’t open shorts against the trend just for a 1% chance of a crash. Patience, patience, patience—that’s the key to success in financial markets. The market’s always been here and always will be, so don’t FOMO or trade against your strategy. Let’s talk BTC.D next, but first, if this has been helpful, I’d appreciate a like and a subscribe—it means a lot! 😊
BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
Let’s get a big-picture view of BTC.D—Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. If this ratio is in an uptrend, liquidity is flowing from altcoins into Bitcoin. If it’s downtrending, it’s moving from Bitcoin to altcoins. Right now, we’re above an uptrend line, so it’s better to go long on BTC since it’s growing faster than most alts. But if the trendline breaks and we drop below 60.27, we can assume an altseason is starting, and that’s when we pivot to buying altcoins. On the daily, BTC.D has been rising nicely, and while some altcoins are starting to wake up, there’s no trend reversal yet. If you check BTC pairs, you’ll notice altcoins are still performing weakly compared to BTC. So, if you’re holding altcoins, it’s better to wait for a clear trend change in BTC.D before buying—that’s the logical move. If you have questions about the analysis or want me to analyze a specific altcoin or symbol, drop it in the comments. BTW, I’m Skeptic! 😄
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Weekly Timeframe: The Big Picture
As I’ve mentioned in previous episodes, the major trend is still a solid uptrend. Why? Per Dow Theory, we’re consistently making higher highs and higher lows. Plus, volume backs this up—rallies come with heavy volume, while corrections see lighter volume. Corrections haven’t even touched the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level, which all points to the uptrend staying strong. Honestly, I’m not selling my spot holdings right now—this trend’s too good! Let’s zoom into the Daily Timeframe for spot triggers.
Daily Timeframe: Spot Triggers
Our previous spot trigger was a buy above $88,500, and since it activated, it’s delivered about 18% profit so far—nice! A quick note: if your capital or risk management is too aggressive, please scale back to stay in profit. If you hit a stop loss, risk no more than 2-3% of your total capital—no more. Now, let’s analyze the chart. Over the past four weeks, we’ve kicked off a solid uptrend, and the corrections feel healthy. Volume’s increasing, showing the trend’s got power. After hitting resistance at $105,000, it looks like we’re gearing up for a correction after a three-wave uptrend. Keep this in mind: $107,000 is a major resistance and could be a great spot trigger. If we break $107,000, go long with a stop loss below $88,000, risking max 3%. That’s a solid setup. Let’s move to the 4-Hour Timeframe.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Our previous long trigger at $85,850 was a banger—if you watched the video and went long with 10x leverage, you’re up about 200%. Congrats if you caught it! 🙌 Moving forward, I’ll share some new long and short triggers that could be useful. For a long setup, we need to see a reaction at $105,000 again, then break that resistance to open a long. But keep your risk low because we’ve got a major resistance at $107,000 looming, and the odds of getting stopped out are higher. I’m saying this now so you don’t complain later! In these conditions, don’t obsess over confirmations from indicators like RSI. Movements are sharp, and by the time you wait for a confirmation, the price has already moved. Stick to your main triggers to open positions. For short setups, I’ve got nothing right now. We’re in a strong bullish trend without even a hint of weakness, so I see no reason to go short. Let any sharp pullback pass first, then we can open shorts with confidence if bearish momentum kicks in. Don’t open shorts against the trend just for a 1% chance of a crash. Patience, patience, patience—that’s the key to success in financial markets. The market’s always been here and always will be, so don’t FOMO or trade against your strategy. Let’s talk BTC.D next, but first, if this has been helpful, I’d appreciate a like and a subscribe—it means a lot! 😊
BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
Let’s get a big-picture view of BTC.D—Bitcoin’s share of the total crypto market cap. If this ratio is in an uptrend, liquidity is flowing from altcoins into Bitcoin. If it’s downtrending, it’s moving from Bitcoin to altcoins. Right now, we’re above an uptrend line, so it’s better to go long on BTC since it’s growing faster than most alts. But if the trendline breaks and we drop below 60.27, we can assume an altseason is starting, and that’s when we pivot to buying altcoins. On the daily, BTC.D has been rising nicely, and while some altcoins are starting to wake up, there’s no trend reversal yet. If you check BTC pairs, you’ll notice altcoins are still performing weakly compared to BTC. So, if you’re holding altcoins, it’s better to wait for a clear trend change in BTC.D before buying—that’s the logical move. If you have questions about the analysis or want me to analyze a specific altcoin or symbol, drop it in the comments. BTW, I’m Skeptic! 😄
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.