Crypto Bull Run Is Over? Or Just Another Market Trap?
Have you lost faith in the bull run? Think the trend has shifted bearish? Not sure what to do with the BTC you’re holding?
I’m Skeptic, and if these questions are on your mind, stick with me until the end of this analysis. Let’s dig deep into the real state of the market!
1️⃣ Is the Bull Run Over? Let’s Analyze the Big Picture
To answer this, let’s break down key parameters:
✅ Major Trend Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
Imagine looking at the BTC weekly chart as if it were a 15-minute chart—does it look weak? Is it bearish?
Most traders would say NO. The overall structure is still in an uptrend, and right now, we’re simply experiencing a time-based correction (sideways movement). Even if this turns into a price correction, dropping to 80K-82K, it’s still within the healthy range of a bull cycle.
🔹 Rule of Trend Structure:
As long as we don’t break a lower low on the weekly timeframe, and BTC.D doesn’t turn bearish, we are still in a macro uptrend.
2️⃣ Signs That We Are Still in a Bull Run
Ironically, most traders only believe in a bull run at the top and lose faith in it during corrections. But let’s look at the real signs:
🔹 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is Rising – This happens when the market rotates capital back into BTC before the next big leg up.
🔹 Altcoins are Crashing Hard – This is a classic market reset before the next move.
🔹 Bearish Sentiment & Fear Are High – The moment people start losing faith, is usually when the biggest moves are about to happen.
🔹 Negative News is Everywhere – Historically, corrections come with bearish news, shaking weak hands out before the real rally continues.
This pattern is nothing new. Let’s take a look at the Crypto Market Cycle Stages to understand where we are now.
3️⃣ Understanding Market Cycle Stages 🔄
Every crypto cycle moves through distinct psychological phases:
1️⃣ Disbelief (Accumulation Phase)
This happened between 52K and 72K, when people thought BTC wouldn’t rise again.
2️⃣ Hope (Early Bull Stage)
We are here right now—BTC has broken out, but many still doubt it.
3️⃣ Optimism (Strong Rally Begins)
Coming next, when BTC starts pushing new highs, and retail traders begin FOMO-ing in.
4️⃣ Euphoria (Market Peak & Bubble Zone)
This is where everyone is convinced BTC will go to 500K+ and institutions dump on retail traders.
Right now, we are in the HOPE stage, and many are expecting instant results. But real gains in the market take years, not days—just like they always have.
4️⃣ Market Patience: Lessons from the Past
📌 Remember the 72K BTC Range?
Before BTC hit 100K, it spent 6 months in a sideways range. Everyone was frustrated, saying the bull run was over. But what happened next? A massive rally.
📌 When BTC Hit 100K, Many Had Already Left
By the time BTC made its big move, many had already quit or stayed sidelined, only returning when it was too late. Don’t repeat that mistake!
Final Thoughts 💡
The market moves in cycles, and corrections are a natural part of every bull run. Instead of fighting reality, embrace it:
✔ As long as BTC holds major structure levels, we’re still in an uptrend.
✔ The best opportunities come when fear is high, not when everyone is euphoric.
✔ Patience always wins—those who stay through the tough times are the ones who make it.
💬 Do you think we’re still in a bull run, or do you believe the cycle has ended? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
I’m Skeptic, and I provide market analysis & educational content. If you want to stay ahead of the trends, follow me for more insights! 🤍
I’m Skeptic, and if these questions are on your mind, stick with me until the end of this analysis. Let’s dig deep into the real state of the market!
1️⃣ Is the Bull Run Over? Let’s Analyze the Big Picture
To answer this, let’s break down key parameters:
✅ Major Trend Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
Imagine looking at the BTC weekly chart as if it were a 15-minute chart—does it look weak? Is it bearish?
Most traders would say NO. The overall structure is still in an uptrend, and right now, we’re simply experiencing a time-based correction (sideways movement). Even if this turns into a price correction, dropping to 80K-82K, it’s still within the healthy range of a bull cycle.
🔹 Rule of Trend Structure:
As long as we don’t break a lower low on the weekly timeframe, and BTC.D doesn’t turn bearish, we are still in a macro uptrend.
2️⃣ Signs That We Are Still in a Bull Run
Ironically, most traders only believe in a bull run at the top and lose faith in it during corrections. But let’s look at the real signs:
🔹 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is Rising – This happens when the market rotates capital back into BTC before the next big leg up.
🔹 Altcoins are Crashing Hard – This is a classic market reset before the next move.
🔹 Bearish Sentiment & Fear Are High – The moment people start losing faith, is usually when the biggest moves are about to happen.
🔹 Negative News is Everywhere – Historically, corrections come with bearish news, shaking weak hands out before the real rally continues.
This pattern is nothing new. Let’s take a look at the Crypto Market Cycle Stages to understand where we are now.
3️⃣ Understanding Market Cycle Stages 🔄
Every crypto cycle moves through distinct psychological phases:
1️⃣ Disbelief (Accumulation Phase)
This happened between 52K and 72K, when people thought BTC wouldn’t rise again.
2️⃣ Hope (Early Bull Stage)
We are here right now—BTC has broken out, but many still doubt it.
3️⃣ Optimism (Strong Rally Begins)
Coming next, when BTC starts pushing new highs, and retail traders begin FOMO-ing in.
4️⃣ Euphoria (Market Peak & Bubble Zone)
This is where everyone is convinced BTC will go to 500K+ and institutions dump on retail traders.
Right now, we are in the HOPE stage, and many are expecting instant results. But real gains in the market take years, not days—just like they always have.
4️⃣ Market Patience: Lessons from the Past
📌 Remember the 72K BTC Range?
Before BTC hit 100K, it spent 6 months in a sideways range. Everyone was frustrated, saying the bull run was over. But what happened next? A massive rally.
📌 When BTC Hit 100K, Many Had Already Left
By the time BTC made its big move, many had already quit or stayed sidelined, only returning when it was too late. Don’t repeat that mistake!
Final Thoughts 💡
The market moves in cycles, and corrections are a natural part of every bull run. Instead of fighting reality, embrace it:
✔ As long as BTC holds major structure levels, we’re still in an uptrend.
✔ The best opportunities come when fear is high, not when everyone is euphoric.
✔ Patience always wins—those who stay through the tough times are the ones who make it.
💬 Do you think we’re still in a bull run, or do you believe the cycle has ended? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
I’m Skeptic, and I provide market analysis & educational content. If you want to stay ahead of the trends, follow me for more insights! 🤍
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.