Do we really have a new bullish season

I'm a person with a very simple style: Everything has been price-in to the chart.
And everything i can see right now that's we have 3 local top, nothing else.
And we have 3 scenarios:
Scenario 1: if BTC can break it's local top, currently is 74k. Than I just can buy anything I want and relax.
Scenario 2: But if we have 3 local top, than we must find a second local bottom, which is 16k again.
Scenario 3: Big scam with big boys visions. BTC can run down to 48k, event lower to 39k to shake down retailer and weak hand. Than BTC can start run up 210k in early 2026.

Let see how things can deploy.
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