BTC/USDT: Analysis - Key Levels and Trade Setup

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Most Relevant Timeframe for Taking a Position

• Based on the analysis, the 12H timeframe appears to be the most relevant for taking a position because:
• It shows a clear bullish trend (MTFTI AVG Dark Green) with potential buy signals (ISPD, Mason’s Line).
• Short-term bearish divergences (MTFTI on 4H-12H) and overbought signals (HPI) are less extreme than on 8H or 4H, providing a window to enter before a possible correction.
• Supports (84,000.42) and resistances (99,218.16) are well-defined and consistent with key levels.

Key Support and Resistance Levels for Taking a Position

Supports:
• 79,647.42-85,963.23 (Auto AVWAP-Low across various timeframes, aligned with identified zones).
• Oversold zones identified by Mason’s Line (0.3438-0.4065), suggesting buying opportunities around these levels.
Resistances:
• 98,857.36-99,247.67 (Auto AVWAP-High on 1D, 12H, 8H, 4H, 2H), consistent with key resistance levels.
• Overbought conditions signaled by HPI (94-100) and Mason’s Line (0.7408), indicating potential selling or profit-taking if these levels are reached.

Actionable Recommendations

1. Long Position (Buy):
• Enter on the 12H timeframe if the price tests supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23, with buy signals confirmed by ISPD (Investor Satisfaction near 0), Mason’s Line (satisfaction < SMA), and Koncorde (Azul > Verde).
• Target: Resistances at 98,857.36-99,218.16, but monitor overbought signals (HPI > 90, Mason’s Satisfaction > 0.97).
• Stop-loss: Below supports at 79,647.42 to limit risks in case of a correction.
2. Short Position (Sell):
• Enter if HPI reaches 94-100 (on 8H, 4H) and Mason’s Satisfaction approaches 1 (on 2H, 0.7408), indicating extreme overbought conditions. Confirm with MTFTI showing short-term bearish trends (Down on 1H-12H).
• Target: Supports at 84,000.42-85,963.23.
• Stop-loss: Above resistances at 99,218.16 to limit risks of a bullish breakout.
3. General Caution:
• Await clarity from the crypto summit at the White House on March 7, 2025, to assess its impact on Bitcoin.
• Monitor key levels (77,930$, 84,000$, 93,570$) and volatility, as a correction is likely after initial euphoria, supported by overbought indicators.

This analysis combines a rigorous chart reading with current insights to provide a coherent and actionable perspective, while accounting for ongoing uncertainties and volatility on BTC/USDT.

Disclaimer

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