Everyone’s talking about Trump's tweet about creating a crypto reserve, like it’s some game-changer for Bitcoin.
But let’s be real—how long will this actually take?
With all the red tape in the U.S. bureaucracy, we’re looking at at least 3 to 6 months before anything substantial happens. And by then, the market will have already moved on to a new narrative.
We’ve Seen This Hype Before
Remember two weeks ago when the whole market got excited about this?
What happened next?
Hype faded. Price dropped. Bitcoin fell all the way to $76K after that excitement wore off. It’s a cycle we’ve seen over and over again—hype pumps the market, smart money sells into it, and then reality kicks in.
Bitcoin’s Bounce? Just a Technical Move
Yeah, BTC bounced back up to $95K, but let’s not kid ourselves—it hit the weekly EMA200 resistance and immediately rejected. Then it slid down to $91.5K, and now it’s probably on its way back down to $80K or even $70K.
Why?
Because the market isn’t just about news—it’s about liquidity, gaps, and technical structure.
CME Gap & Fair Value Gap Need to Be Filled
The market doesn’t move in straight lines. There are still CME gaps and fair value gaps lingering below. These aren’t just random levels—they’re areas where price has unfinished business. The market loves to fill these voids before making the next major move. That’s why a deeper correction makes more sense than another rally at this point.
So What??
Let me ask you this: So what if Trump actually follows through?
By the time anything real happens, the market will have already moved, priced it in, and probably dumped again. The smart play isn’t to get caught in every hype cycle—it’s to watch the charts, understand liquidity zones, and trade what’s actually happening, not what might happen months down the line.
Hype doesn’t dictate long-term price action. Smart money does.
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So What ... is the "Next Stop"?
Bitcoin is sitting around $91.5K, but the charts are flashing some clear signals—it might be time for a pullback. Let’s break it down step by step.
Key Indicators Screaming "Caution"
Upper Level of Bollinger Band & Donchian Channel → BTC is hitting resistance at these levels, meaning price is stretched to the upside and could reverse.
RSI Above 60 (Overbought Zone) → Anything above 60 means BTC is entering overbought conditions, and historically, that’s where retracements tend to start.
MACD Crossed Down → The momentum is shifting bearish. When MACD crosses down, it signals a weakening trend, increasing the chances of a drop.
Fibonacci 0.618 Target: $84K? → If BTC follows classic Fibonacci retracement levels, the next probable target sits around $84K. This would be a healthy correction before any potential bounce.
Trend Status? Still a Downtrend
Even with short-term pumps, Bitcoin is still in a macro downtrend, and price is respecting it. As long as BTC keeps following this pattern, any bounce is just a temporary relief before the next drop.
What’s Next?
If BTC breaks below $91.5K, expect a move down to $84K as the next major retracement zone.
If momentum continues bearish, we might even revisit $80K or lower in the coming days/weeks.
Bottom Line
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion at these levels. The indicators are aligning for a retracement, and the downtrend is still in control. If history repeats itself, the next destination looks like $84K before we see what’s next.
Let’s see how it plays out! Good luck guys🚀📉
But let’s be real—how long will this actually take?
With all the red tape in the U.S. bureaucracy, we’re looking at at least 3 to 6 months before anything substantial happens. And by then, the market will have already moved on to a new narrative.
We’ve Seen This Hype Before
Remember two weeks ago when the whole market got excited about this?
What happened next?
Hype faded. Price dropped. Bitcoin fell all the way to $76K after that excitement wore off. It’s a cycle we’ve seen over and over again—hype pumps the market, smart money sells into it, and then reality kicks in.
Bitcoin’s Bounce? Just a Technical Move
Yeah, BTC bounced back up to $95K, but let’s not kid ourselves—it hit the weekly EMA200 resistance and immediately rejected. Then it slid down to $91.5K, and now it’s probably on its way back down to $80K or even $70K.
Why?
Because the market isn’t just about news—it’s about liquidity, gaps, and technical structure.
CME Gap & Fair Value Gap Need to Be Filled
The market doesn’t move in straight lines. There are still CME gaps and fair value gaps lingering below. These aren’t just random levels—they’re areas where price has unfinished business. The market loves to fill these voids before making the next major move. That’s why a deeper correction makes more sense than another rally at this point.
So What??
Let me ask you this: So what if Trump actually follows through?
By the time anything real happens, the market will have already moved, priced it in, and probably dumped again. The smart play isn’t to get caught in every hype cycle—it’s to watch the charts, understand liquidity zones, and trade what’s actually happening, not what might happen months down the line.
Hype doesn’t dictate long-term price action. Smart money does.
////////////////
So What ... is the "Next Stop"?
Bitcoin is sitting around $91.5K, but the charts are flashing some clear signals—it might be time for a pullback. Let’s break it down step by step.
Key Indicators Screaming "Caution"
Upper Level of Bollinger Band & Donchian Channel → BTC is hitting resistance at these levels, meaning price is stretched to the upside and could reverse.
RSI Above 60 (Overbought Zone) → Anything above 60 means BTC is entering overbought conditions, and historically, that’s where retracements tend to start.
MACD Crossed Down → The momentum is shifting bearish. When MACD crosses down, it signals a weakening trend, increasing the chances of a drop.
Fibonacci 0.618 Target: $84K? → If BTC follows classic Fibonacci retracement levels, the next probable target sits around $84K. This would be a healthy correction before any potential bounce.
Trend Status? Still a Downtrend
Even with short-term pumps, Bitcoin is still in a macro downtrend, and price is respecting it. As long as BTC keeps following this pattern, any bounce is just a temporary relief before the next drop.
What’s Next?
If BTC breaks below $91.5K, expect a move down to $84K as the next major retracement zone.
If momentum continues bearish, we might even revisit $80K or lower in the coming days/weeks.
Bottom Line
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion at these levels. The indicators are aligning for a retracement, and the downtrend is still in control. If history repeats itself, the next destination looks like $84K before we see what’s next.
Let’s see how it plays out! Good luck guys🚀📉
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.