Market Overview

49


WHAT HAPPENED?

Despite the prevailing bullish trend, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold at the lower end of the sideways range. Instead, there was a breakdown downwards, which led to a shift of the accumulated volume in the short direction.

After that, the support zone of $104,200 – $102,300 (accumulated volumes) was tested, which was followed by the first positive reaction from buyers.

WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?

It’s too early to talk about a full-fledged reversal and a resumption of the bullish trend. The resumption looks weak, both in terms of volume and momentum.

In the near future, we should expect a repeat test of the formed minimum. In the absence of a buyer's reaction, a rollback to the next area of interest is possible. An alternative scenario is the formation of a new sidewall between key levels:

– $104,200 – $102,300 (current accumulation zone),

– $107,000 – $109,800 (potential upper limit).

Sell zone:

$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume)

Buy zones:

$104,200–$102,300 (accumulated volume)
~$100,000 (initiating volume)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
Level at $93,000
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)

IMPORTANT DATES

The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:

• Monday, June 2, 13:45 (UTC) — the publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the ISM index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for May;
• Monday, June 2, 17:00 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Tuesday, June 3, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index for May and in comparison with May 2024 in the Eurozone;
• Tuesday, June 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for April;
• Wednesday, June 4, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non—agricultural sector for May from ADP;
• Wednesday, June 4, 13:45 (UTC) - publication of the index of business activity in the service sector (PMI) USA for May, as well as Canada's interest rate decisions;
• Wednesday, June 4, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non—manufacturing purchasing managers' index for May from ISM;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:15 (UTC) - publication of the deposit rate, as well as interest rate decisions in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, June 5, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Friday, June 6, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States in May.

*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.

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