Risk: Medium
Please be advised that this is only an idea, so you are responsible for any losses yourself.
Dear followers,
First of all, don't forget to follow and like my ideas. Don't hesistate to ask me questions or to post your chart below. I like to discuss charts in a normal way. :)
This is an update of my previous BTC idea and this time I provide you with 3 long-term strategies for BTC.
Original idea:
We are shorted BTC since $11300,- and we have reached our first two targets. Please, find the ideas in the related ideas or on my channel. Personally I'm short in steps since around $15.000,-. (Red dotted line) This was a level were a lot of people were making analyses with price targets of $100.000,-, totaly insane in my opinion. If you are short since the original idea, congrats with your profits!
Analysis:
BTC is in a downtrend since the $20.000,- top. We broke several main supports (dotted line) and we set higer low (HL) after higher low. Today we broke our main and very important support line (1) intraday that I mentioned in my previous analyses a lot. If we close with a candle below this support today, we'll reach our next targets soon. First we'll reach the old spike around $6200,- and a quick bounce is possible here, before we remain our way down. We take our last partial profit here. On our way down we find a very strong support zone, I'm convinced that this will be our reversal zone. Why?
We find 3 strong support levels here (I included the weekly and monthly chart to explain it): The first support is support (A), the 50ma weekly and our final short target. I'll close all my short positions here and will start to buy Bitcoin again. The second level is support (B), a raising main support line, like the dotted lines and support (1) in the daily chart. The last strong support is support (C), this is the 20ma monthly. The combination of these support levels forms our possible reversal zone. ($3990-$4600)
Strategy 1:
If you are short since my original idea, stay short till we reach our final targets. Take partial profit at $6200,- again and close all your short positions at $4600,-. I changed this TP with 200 points to don't miss the boat for the reversal. Besides that, I'm satisfied with my huge profit then.
Profit targets:
Target 1: 9600 (Reached: Previous idea)
Target 2: 7650 (Reached: Previous idea)
Target 3: 6200
Target 4: 50ma weekly ($4600)
After this, I made a great profit with this strategy and I can start with strategy 2.
Strategy 2:
I expect a (short term) trend reversal in this zone. So I'll start to buy Bitcoin here again. The support zone has a range of 3990-4600. So I'll set orders at various levels.
Buy levels:
Buy 1: $4600,- (partial)
Buy 2: $4400,- (partial)
Buy 3: $4200,- (partial)
Buy 4: $4000,- (partial)
If we reach all our buy targets, we are in this trade for an average of $4300,- (Buy 1;2;3,4/Total buy levels). If we don't reach all our buy levels, we are in this trade with a lower amount, but we bought at the bottom or near to the bottom!
Profit targets:
TP 1: $6952
TP 2: $7867
TP 3: $8782
Take partial profit at each target. I expect a continuation of the downtrend after reaching target 3. So, this will open short chances again. I'll provide you with a new chart if this scenario happens.
Stop loss:
If we close with a candle on the daily chart below the reversal zone ($3990), sell all your positions immediately and take your loss. The reversal has failed and we go further with strategy 3.
Strategy 3:
This strategy is valid if we close with a candle on the daily chart below our support zone.
Sell: Below $3990.
Final profit target: 50ma monthly ($759 now)*
*If this scenario happens, I'll update this idea with extra profit targets between the short level and the final target.
Please, follow and like for more trading ideas.
Questions? Feel free to ask and your feedback is welcome!