A potential Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is developing, with point D yet to be completed. If price action reaches the harmonic completion zone, it could present a high-probability long opportunity near a stacked Fibonacci confluence zone.
The D-leg aligns beautifully with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure from the macro low at $15,476 to the all-time high of $109,588. A level that has acted as key support in the past. Multiple additional Fibonacci confirmations further strengthen this potential bullish reversal zone.
Pattern Breakdown – Bullish Butterfly Formation
The Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is a structured reversal setup, often forming at market extremes before trend shifts.
1️⃣ XA Leg – The initial impulse. 2️⃣ AB Leg – A retracement of 0.786 – 0.886 Fibonacci of XA. 3️⃣ BC Leg – A counter-trend move retracing 0.382 – 0.886 of AB. 4️⃣ CD Leg – The final move, typically extending 1.618 – 2.618 Fibonacci of XA.
📍 In this developing setup: ✅ B-point retraces 0.806 of XA → Butterfly pattern remains valid. ✅ C-point retraces 0.838 of AB → Strengthening structural alignment. ✅ D-leg projection target 1.695 XA extension, converging with multiple key Fibonacci levels.
Fibonacci Confluence – Strong Potential Reversal Zone ($73,783.52 - $73,157) As price moves toward potential point D, multiple Fibonacci levels create a high-probability reversal area:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 5-wave Elliott structure ($73,637.22)
Negative -0.236 Fibonacci retracement at $73,251.43
Negative -0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $73,157
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension 1:1 at $73,783.52
📍 Potential Reversal Zone: Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Trade Setup – Waiting for Confirmation
Since point D has not completed yet, we should wait for bullish confirmation signals in the reversal zone before entering.
Entry Zone (if price reaches D): Between $73,783.52 and $73,157
Stop Loss: Below $73,157 (D-point invalidation)
Take Profit: B-point resistance
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 if TP at B-point
⚠️ Key Reminder:
🚨 The pattern is not confirmed yet. A reaction in the potential reversal zone (e.g., bullish divergences, strong buying pressure, or reversal candlesticks) would strengthen the case for a long position.
Are you watching this level for a potential reaction? Will point D complete? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀🔥
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.