Hello Traders,
In today’s Bitcoin update we are focusing on the weekly timeframe, specifically the high time frame trading channel that has played a key role in guiding price action. We previously had a bullish wave count that pushed price above the channel, completing a wave 5 impulse to the upside. However, that breakout has now failed with price closing back below the channel resistance, indicating a trend shift and confirming a failed auction above the structural high.
Key Technical Points:
• Failed Breakout: Price closed back below the channel after completing the wave 5 impulse, signaling a trend reversal.
• Bearish Wave Count Begins: Price is now following a likely bearish wave structure with downside potential toward the key swing low at 33,530.
• Wave 2 Rejection Zone: As long as Bitcoin trades below the channel high, this region acts as resistance, and a wave 3 bearish expansion may be unfolding.
The breakdown from the channel high shifts sentiment and suggests a bearish market phase may be underway. This is especially critical on the weekly timeframe, where each candle represents significant market activity over a 7-day period. Patience will be essential as these moves take time to play out.
From a trading perspective, high time frame short positions near resistance can serve as a portfolio hedge, giving flexibility to buy much lower if the market dips into key support zones. The 33,530 swing low remains a vital level to watch—it could act as a major demand zone for future long opportunities, though that’s likely later in the year.
In today’s Bitcoin update we are focusing on the weekly timeframe, specifically the high time frame trading channel that has played a key role in guiding price action. We previously had a bullish wave count that pushed price above the channel, completing a wave 5 impulse to the upside. However, that breakout has now failed with price closing back below the channel resistance, indicating a trend shift and confirming a failed auction above the structural high.
Key Technical Points:
• Failed Breakout: Price closed back below the channel after completing the wave 5 impulse, signaling a trend reversal.
• Bearish Wave Count Begins: Price is now following a likely bearish wave structure with downside potential toward the key swing low at 33,530.
• Wave 2 Rejection Zone: As long as Bitcoin trades below the channel high, this region acts as resistance, and a wave 3 bearish expansion may be unfolding.
The breakdown from the channel high shifts sentiment and suggests a bearish market phase may be underway. This is especially critical on the weekly timeframe, where each candle represents significant market activity over a 7-day period. Patience will be essential as these moves take time to play out.
From a trading perspective, high time frame short positions near resistance can serve as a portfolio hedge, giving flexibility to buy much lower if the market dips into key support zones. The 33,530 swing low remains a vital level to watch—it could act as a major demand zone for future long opportunities, though that’s likely later in the year.
Free Alpha Group t.me/freetradingden
Unlock up-to $8,000 USDT in bonuses, only at Blofin - Link Below to start Trading.
partner.blofin.com/d/alchemisttrader
Unlock up-to $8,000 USDT in bonuses, only at Blofin - Link Below to start Trading.
partner.blofin.com/d/alchemisttrader
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Alpha Group t.me/freetradingden
Unlock up-to $8,000 USDT in bonuses, only at Blofin - Link Below to start Trading.
partner.blofin.com/d/alchemisttrader
Unlock up-to $8,000 USDT in bonuses, only at Blofin - Link Below to start Trading.
partner.blofin.com/d/alchemisttrader
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.