Need a trading strategy that fits your average purchase price
Updated
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(1W chart)
Due to this decline, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being newly created.
Accordingly, you can trade depending on whether there is support around 64K-65920.71.
Since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator is passing around 62.3K, you can see that support around 64K-65920.71 is important.
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Since it has fallen from the BW indicator (point pointed by the finger) shown on the price candle, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If not, the BW indicator of the TS-BW indicator will show a downward trend.
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Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 48K, and the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 43823.59 point, so I think the full-scale downtrend will start when it falls below the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
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The mid- to long-term downtrend is expected to start when it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and is maintained.
. (1D chart)
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart have fallen below, we can see that a short-term downtrend has begun.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above 67617.25.
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Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is about to be newly created at the 65920.71 point, we need to check for support around 62791.03-65920.71.
The 62791.03 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it falls below this point, a step-down downtrend is likely to begin.
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Therefore, a full-fledged short-term downtrend or a mid- to long-term downtrend is likely to begin when the price falls below 62791.03 and is maintained.
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The 58811.32 point is the lower point of the HA-Low indicator box on the 1D chart.
Since the upper point of the HA-High indicator box on the previous 1M chart is formed near it, if the price is maintained above 58811.32, it is highly likely that a full-scale upward trend will continue in the long term.
.
(1M chart)
Therefore, you should consider a response strategy according to the average purchase price.
Since the final support range is around 42K-43K, if the average purchase price is formed below this range, you can either sell in installments to realize profits or hold as is.
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However, if this is not the case and the average purchase price is formed within the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd ranges, you can sell 100% and buy again depending on the case.
Therefore, you should first check where your current average purchase price is and supplement your trading strategy accordingly.
Because what the market is talking about, such as the beginning of a downtrend or a continuation of an uptrend, may not actually fit your trading, you need to be careful.
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Looking at the 1M chart, it is currently showing signs of falling near the first section.
Therefore, if it continues to fall, you should check for support near the second section.
If it rises near the first section, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (88913.24).
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
Due to this decline, the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being newly created.
Accordingly, you can trade depending on whether there is support around 64K-65920.71.
Since the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator is passing around 62.3K, you can see that support around 64K-65920.71 is important.
-
Since it has fallen from the BW indicator (point pointed by the finger) shown on the price candle, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If not, the BW indicator of the TS-BW indicator will show a downward trend.
-
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 48K, and the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 43823.59 point, so I think the full-scale downtrend will start when it falls below the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
-
The mid- to long-term downtrend is expected to start when it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and is maintained.
. (1D chart)
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart have fallen below, we can see that a short-term downtrend has begun.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise above 67617.25.
-
Since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is about to be newly created at the 65920.71 point, we need to check for support around 62791.03-65920.71.
The 62791.03 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it falls below this point, a step-down downtrend is likely to begin.
-
Therefore, a full-fledged short-term downtrend or a mid- to long-term downtrend is likely to begin when the price falls below 62791.03 and is maintained.
-
The 58811.32 point is the lower point of the HA-Low indicator box on the 1D chart.
Since the upper point of the HA-High indicator box on the previous 1M chart is formed near it, if the price is maintained above 58811.32, it is highly likely that a full-scale upward trend will continue in the long term.
.
(1M chart)
Therefore, you should consider a response strategy according to the average purchase price.
Since the final support range is around 42K-43K, if the average purchase price is formed below this range, you can either sell in installments to realize profits or hold as is.
-
However, if this is not the case and the average purchase price is formed within the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd ranges, you can sell 100% and buy again depending on the case.
Therefore, you should first check where your current average purchase price is and supplement your trading strategy accordingly.
Because what the market is talking about, such as the beginning of a downtrend or a continuation of an uptrend, may not actually fit your trading, you need to be careful.
-
Looking at the 1M chart, it is currently showing signs of falling near the first section.
Therefore, if it continues to fall, you should check for support near the second section.
If it rises near the first section, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio point of 1.618 (88913.24).
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Note
#BTCUSDTThis volatility period is until June 14th.
Therefore, we need to look at what kind of movement it shows after this volatility period.
If it falls below the rising trend line (1), it is expected to enter a section that is difficult to predict as it will enter a trend reversal channel.
Therefore, it can show a fairly large volatility, so caution is required when trading.
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USDT is maintaining an upward trend, but USDC is not showing the same movement.
However, if USDC maintains an important point near 32.435B or continues to gap up, the coin market is expected to escape the short-term downtrend.
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BTC dominance has risen above 55.01.
Therefore, if the upward trend continues, funds in the coin market will be concentrated on BTC, and altcoins are likely to record a large decline, so caution is required when trading altcoins.
However, if it encounters resistance in the 55.01-62.47 range and falls, it is highly likely that a major uptrend will begin.
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For a bull market to start,
- USDT and USDC must maintain a gap uptrend.
- BTC dominance must fall below 55.01-62.47 and maintain a downtrend.
- USDT dominance must remain below 4.97 or show a downtrend.
Currently, USDC and BTC dominance are not in line.
Note
#BTCUSDTThe volatility period is ending.
It is currently located near the HA-High indicator (65920.71) of the newly created 1W chart.
It is also located near the upper point of the box (66444.16) of the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to check whether there is support near 65920.71-66444.16.
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If it falls below the rising trend line (1), it will enter the trend reversal channel, so we need to be careful about the volatility.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator (62791.03) of the 1D chart and the important trend line, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, so we need to prepare a countermeasure for this.
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Since it met the HA-Low indicator, it is expected to show a movement to form a bottom section, so you should check for support and proceed with a purchase every time you meet the HA-Low indicator.
If the M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart, the downtrend may accelerate.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is passing around 48K, so it needs to show more decline to turn into a reverse arrangement.
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Therefore, it is necessary to check what kind of movement is shown in the current section 65920.71-6644.16.
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The next volatility period is around June 24.
At this time, the important key is in which direction it deviates from the 64K-67614.25 section.
Note
#BTCUSDTTS - It appears that the BW indicator of the BW indicator has touched the lowest point.
Accordingly, a new BW indicator point is expected to be created on the price candle.
At this time, you should check whether there is support at the BW indicator point.
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The reason why it was marked as the first decline in the 65920.71-66444.16 section is because USDC appears to have gapped below 32.435B.
If it rises above 66444.16 first, but USDC does not show a gap increase, it is highly likely to turn into a decline, so caution is required when trading.
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You should apply chart analysis based on your own average purchase price.
Also, you should consider the current movement with a trading strategy that suits your investment period.
If the average purchase price is within the support and resistance zones shown on the chart, you will likely need to respond sensitively to the current movement.
However, you should consider the investment period when starting the transaction and decide whether to respond with a sell or a buy.
Note
USDC is showing a gap increase of more than 32.435B.
We need to see if it continues like this or continues to gap up.
If it continues to gap up, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
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In order for the coin market to continue its upward trend, the USDT dominance must be maintained below 4.97 or show a downward trend.
In addition, if the BTC dominance is maintained below 55.01-62.47 or shows a downward trend, I think the coin market is likely to show a major upward trend.
If not, and BTC Dominus continues its upward trend, there is a possibility that a market will form in which only BTC rises, so caution is required when trading altcoins.
Note
#BTCUSDTIf USDC maintains a gap uptrend, I think it is highly likely to escape the short-term decline.
Therefore,
1st: 67614.25
2nd: 70288.00
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
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If USDC fails to do so and continues its gap downtrend again, there is a possibility that it will continue its short-term decline.
Therefore,
1st: 62791.03-64K
2nd: 5811.32-59600.01
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
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Due to the recently created trend line, the next volatility period is around June 24th (June 23rd-25th).
At this time, we need to check which direction it deviates from the 64K-67614.25 range.
If it enters below the rising trend line (1) and maintains, it will enter a trend reversal channel with a large volatility range, so be careful when trading.
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As of now, the high volatility period is likely to start around July 15th.
Note
#BTCUSDTThere is no guarantee that the movement will follow the past trend, but it can generally show a similar trend.
Previously, the MS-Signal indicator turned into a bearish sign, then the BW indicator was created 3 times and the upward trend occurred.
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator has turned into a bearish sign and the first BW indicator has been created.
Therefore, if it is supported and rises near the first BW indicator, that is, 65920.71-66444.16, it can be interpreted that it is likely to be resisted near the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, the area near 67614.25 is likely to be the resistance zone.
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If you look at the movement of the BW-PVT indicator, you can see that it is in a downtrend.
Therefore, I think that in order to turn into an uptrend, a movement that rises above the horizontal line must occur.
In order to do that, the key is whether there is a large volume of transactions.
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It is a good idea to simulate whether to trade LONG or SHORT positions in short-term transactions.
This is because it will be a practice for the upcoming big bear market in 2026.
You may think that I am talking about a period that is too far away, but the period is short to practice trading appropriately for the situation.
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