I expect this cycle to surprise most of the market participants, as they expect the usual 4 year cycle, but since the big boys are here I think they will be in for a surprise of a life time.
My arguments for the Bull cycle ending in December are that most of the bullish catalysts for crypto have already happened or will happen by the end of Q4 2024 :
1. BTC ETF's approved
2. ETH ETF's approved.
3. Fed cuts rates (market is forward looking and will price this, when it happens it will dump 2025 most likely for a dump)
4. Trump becoming president.
Based on all the above bullish catalysts , I do not see another possible catalyst which is more bullish than the above that will take the market to new highs in 2025.
Based on this and the market sentiment if we have any kind of a push till the end of 2024 with BTC and ALTS reaching new ATH's I will look to take 90%+ of my profits before year end.
And will think about leaving some money on the side for a scenario in which the cycle continues in 2025, but at this point in time I doubt this, but will leave some $ to enter if I am wrong.
To sum up Q4 2024 will be the last push for the crypto market and the end of the cycle.
And a lot of "players and retail boys" will be baited and left holding the bag into Q2 2025 thinking the next push is coming as the big boys will have already left the chat.
Stay safe!