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The reason why I explain the USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D chart first is that it is judged that the price change of coins (tokens) can be predicted to some extent if the overall money flow of the coin market is known.

(USDT chart)
snapshot
Funds continue to flow into the coin market via USDT.

After the volatility period on or around March 4th, we need to see if the bullish trend continues.


(USDC 1D chart)
snapshot
The next period of volatility is around March 10th.

The key is whether it can rise above 42.563B and maintain the uptrend.


(BTC.D 1W chart)
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It is necessary to check whether there is movement out of the 43.75-45.68 section.

If it falls below 43.75, there is a chance that the altcoins will start pumping.

However, this pumping does not mean a bull market in the coin market.

The road to bull market next year will only get tougher.


(USDT.D 1D chart)
snapshot
A rise above 6.90-7.27 is expected to cause the coin market to plummet.

A rise in USDT dominance means a fall in the coin market.

A period of volatility began around March 3rd.

After this period of volatility, it is necessary to check which trend line it breaks out of.

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snapshot

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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The question is whether it can find support near 22487.41-23141.57 and rise above the downtrend line (2).

If it falls below 22487.41, it is considered that the cup pattern corresponding to section B has failed to complete.


If it starts to touch the 22487.41 point, I expect it to lead to a big decline as selling pressure increases.

Then, the support interval is
1st: 21023.14-21853.06
2nd : 19176.93-20050.02
It is necessary to check whether it is supported in the first and second sections above.


If it rises above the downtrend line (2), you should check if it can rise above 24379.02.

Also, it is necessary to check whether it can rise above the uptrend line (3).


In any case, it appears to be absorbing selling pressure while moving sideways near the MS-Signal indicator.

Funds are continuously flowing into USDT and USDC, so if this trend is maintained, even if BTC falls, it is likely to recover quickly.

Accordingly, it is necessary to create and execute a trading strategy on how to proceed with buying from a mid- to long-term perspective.

However, the point where the maximum drop is expected is around 17.8K.

However, waiting for a drop to around 17.8K doesn't sound like a good idea when money is constantly flowing in.

Therefore, I think it is better to gradually proceed with the purchase while increasing the proportion of funds as it approaches the first and second sections, which are the support sections mentioned above.


It is currently forming a volume profile section at 22963.0.

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(BTCKRW chart)
snapshot
The next period of volatility is around March 6th.

Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can be supported around 31024000, the newly created support and resistance point on the 1M chart.

If not, you need to make sure you keep the price above the MS-Signal indicator.

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- big picture
snapshot
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to begin when it rises above 29K.

This is the 81K-95K range that we expect to touch in the next bull market.

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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.

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Comment
(BTCUSDT chart)
snapshot
The decline has caused the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart to decline and is trying to form at 22426.60.

Therefore, if this week's candlestick finds support around 22426.60, there is a possibility that the medium- to long-term uptrend will continue.

If it falls below 22426.60,
1st: 21023.14-21853.06
2nd : 19176.93-20050.02

You need to make sure that it is supported in the first and second sections above.

The point of maximum drop is around 17.8K.
Comment
(BTCUSDTPERP chart)
snapshot
Comment
snapshot
snapshot
A sharp drop in BTC occurred while funds were flowing into USDT and USDC.

Accordingly, this decline is not expected to last very long.


snapshot
Usually, a fall in BTC will lead to a rise in BTC dominance.

However, even as BTC fell, BTC dominance is showing a decline.

Thus, it can be seen that the altcoin's price defense is in place.


snapshot
Between March 2-3 and 4, the volatility period of USDT dominance, it is showing an upward movement of 7.14 or more.

If it stays above 7.14 after this volatility period ends, the coin market will likely go down.

However, if funds continue to flow into USDT and USDC, the decline is not expected to last long, so I think buying should be carried out according to the mid- to long-term trading strategy.
Comment
It is highly likely that there will be a move sooner or later.

The question is whether the price can sustain it by rising above the newly created 22421.2.

If not, it is expected to lead to further declines.

('SHORT')
snapshot

('LONG')
snapshot
Beyond Technical AnalysisBitcoin (Cryptocurrency)BTCbtcdominanceBTCUSDBTCUSDTBTCUSDTPERPTechnical IndicatorsTrend AnalysisUSDCusdtusdtdominance

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