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The reason why I explain the USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D chart first is that it is judged that the price change of coins (tokens) can be predicted to some extent if the overall money flow of the coin market is known.
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
(BTC.D 1W chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
If the USDT chart continues to rise while creating gaps, the coin market is expected to show an upward trend.
It is showing a decline on the USDC chart, creating a -3.75% gap.
Therefore, I think it is showing a limit to the rise of the coin market.
The question is whether it can rise above 45.68 on the BTC.D chart.
If BTC dominance rises above 45.68 and maintains its bullish trend, the coin market is expected to move towards a bull run next year.
If BTC dominance stays above 45.68, most altcoins are likely to move sideways or show a bearish trend, so we need to think about countermeasures.
We believe this move is likely to continue until BTC reaches around 45K.
It fell back to the 6.85-7.27 range on the USDT.D chart.
So, the question is whether we can start a decline below 6.21.
Otherwise, if it rises above 7.27, the coin market is expected to decline again.
Taking the charts of USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D, BTCUSDT, BTCUSDTPERP, and BTCKRW together, the next volatility period is expected to be around March 16, around March 20-24, and around March 29-30 It's possible.
Therefore, we expect the move around March 16th to be a prelude to volatility.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart) As it rises above the HA-High indicator, the possibility of continuing the mid- to long-term upward trend is increasing.
If it declines, you should check for support near the HA-High indicator.
(1D chart) Supported around 24376.02, 1st : More than M-Signal of 1M chart 2nd: 28923.63 or higher You need to make sure that the price can be maintained by rising 1st, 2nd or more times.
If it falls below 22487.41, 1st: 21023.14-21853.06 2nd : 19176.93-20050.02 3rd: 17880.71 (up to 16.7K) It is necessary to check whether it is supported in the 1st to 3rd sections.
If the 24376.02 point is the HA-High indicator point and it is supported at this point, it is likely to break the recent high.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that the short-term uptrend is likely to continue.
If it falls from the HA-High indicator, it is highly likely to fall to the vicinity of the HA-Low indicator paired with the HA-High indicator, so you need to think about countermeasures against this.
Since it is around March 16 (March 15-17), which is the prelude to the volatility period mentioned above, it is better to check the supplements in the existing trading strategy rather than recreating the trading strategy in volatility.
This is because creating or modifying your trading strategy when volatility is in the works can have a significant subjective and psychological impact on yourself.
The volatility period on this chart, the BTCUSDT chart, is around March 20th.
Therefore, it is necessary to see how movements after the volatility period around March 16th affect the volatility period around March 20th.
From the short-term (1D) and mid- to long-term (1W) perspectives, it seems that we are ready to continue the uptrend.
However, I don't think it is ready to continue the uptrend from a long-term (1M) perspective.
Therefore, the wiggle for this is expected to continue.
From a trending point of view, in order to continue the long-term uptrend, the price must maintain the price by rising above the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, rather than being impatient with the current rise in BTC, we recommend that you slowly proceed with your purchase according to your own buying method.
This is because if you look at the current price range in the bull market next year, it is a good buy wherever you buy.
If you do not have your own way to buy, 1. If the price is above the MS-Signal indicator, buy when the candlestick on the 1D chart is about to close with a falling candlestick. 2. If the price is below the MS-Signal indicator, buy when the candlestick on the 1D chart is about to close with a rising candlestick. We recommend that you check if you can use the method above.
However, it is important to make sure that cash is not exhausted by proceeding with split transactions.
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(BTCKRW chart) The key is whether the price can sustain the price by rising above the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
If not, 1st: around 31468000 2nd: around 29218000 You need to make sure that it is supported in the vicinity of the 1st and 2nd above.
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- big picture A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.
This is the 81K-95K range that we expect to touch in the next bull market.
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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Note
(BTCUSDTPERP 1h chart) The full-fledged position trading strategy has been changed by touching the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
The 24294.1-25882.9 section is a box section for high leverage.
This is a trading strategy for position entry based on the direction of exit from this interval.
'SHORT' position trading strategy
Enter 'SHORT' position: around 24294.1 1st: Around 22421.2 (21826.1-23129.6) 2nd: Around 20122.5 (19411.7-20984.7) End of transaction: around 17864.7 (up to around 16.4K)
However, if it does not fall below 5EMA on the 1D chart and M-Signal on the 1D and 1W charts, it is recommended to sell some to confirm profits or close the transaction and check the situation.
'LONG' position trading strategy Enter 'LONG' position: around 25882.9 1st: Around 27102.7 2nd : 28951.7-30000.5 Transaction closed: 32275.6
Note
It gaps again on the USDC chart, showing a decline of -2.58%.
However, as funds are holding up on the USDT chart, the coin market is likely to maintain an uptrend.
However, caution should be exercised when trading as USDC is trending down and may limit its rise.
Note
(BTCUSD chart) It is necessary to check whether the red width of the OBV in the 'Vol & Trend' indicator is converted to the green width. A red mark indicates an increase in selling, and a green mark indicates an increase in buying.
Since it rose without touching the horizontal line of the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, it is expected to drop to the current HA-Low indicator point at 21552.44 or touch the point created by the HA-Low indicator moving.
To do so, it must fall from the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
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