After yesterday's false start, Bitcoin's long anticipated ETF is finally here. However, it remains to be seen whether this ETF approval will be bullish or not.
In the long-term, definitely. Price action over the next few weeks/months is likely bearish. As mentioned before, I'm expecting a short swift pump towards 48,000$ before hitting two major resistances and dump.
Reasons for this bearish view:
- Strong pump into news. Buy the rumor, sell the news?
- Top yellow resistance of the channel
- 48k resistance, last major resistance before the ATH.
- The ETF approval is a perfect bull-trap for retail traders. Whales have already bought their Bitcoin's in the last year.
The bottom support of the channel seems like a decent bearish target. Potentially even 30k.
I will switch from bear to bull if we can get a weekly close above 50k. This indicates that the 48k resistance has been broken and will decrease the probability of a fake out. Happy to be proven wrong.
For now, be careful for high volatility.