In my initial analysis on October 8, I projected Bitcoin's path toward an all-time high (ATH) of 80K based on a thorough review of Fibonacci retracement levels, trendlines, and market indicators. Now, with Bitcoin moving as anticipated, it's time for an update on the technicals and what we can expect going forward.
Key Technical Analysis:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The 0.618 retracement level (~66,666 USDT) has proven to be a strong support zone. Bitcoin tested and respected this level, reinforcing the bullish momentum. With the price hovering around 66K, the next key level to watch is 71,068 USDT (0.5), followed by 75,471 USDT (0.382), which will confirm the trajectory towards the ATH.
Ascending Trendline Support:
The upward trendline I marked earlier has continued to act as a solid support. Price movements above this trendline signal continued bullish momentum, showing that buyers are confident at higher levels.
Channel Breakout:
Bitcoin broke out of its consolidation phase (March to September 2024) in line with the analysis. The breakout from the descending channel is significant, pointing to a sustained bullish trend. This kind of movement typically precedes higher price targets, which aligns with my projection toward 80K.
Moving Averages (MA):
The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are still in a positive alignment, offering support for the upward movement. As long as Bitcoin stays above these levels, the bullish case remains strong.
Volume and Market Sentiment:
Volume has remained relatively steady with no significant drops, which indicates there is still buying pressure in the market. This confirms that the breakout is supported by market demand and not just speculative moves.
Conclusion and Next Steps:
The technicals remain solid, and Bitcoin is following the path laid out in my initial analysis. With 71K and 75K as the next critical levels, the target of 80K remains highly achievable. However, while the long-term trend is bullish, traders should continue to monitor key support and resistance zones to confirm the strength of the move.
In summary, the chart speaks for itself. The breakout, moving averages, and Fibonacci retracements are all supporting the case for a new ATH. Stay focused on the broader trend and be prepared for the continuation of this bullish cycle.
Stay updated for further developments.