Brazilian Bovespa Index: Long Term

By Lanmar
Updated
Fairly high probability we see the Bovespa index trade to the downside. This is a great trade because it presents us with multiple opportunities if the stop gets triggered (with a close on the weekly time frame).

Pay Attention to the correlation between USDBRL and Bovespa Index - extremely important as Brazil´s equity market has proven to be extremely sensitive to its currency (for now). Notice Brazil trades lower when BRL weakens ' quite the opposite with other markets, such as the Nikkei and the Yen.
snapshot

If we see the 3.20´s get hit while the reaching resistance in the Bovespa it should indicate a great entry. (Though this is usually unlikely to occur at the same time.)
snapshot
Comment
Break below neckline ...

snapshot
Comment
Entry 1 probably coming soon. Be prepared.
Comment
Have not yet activated any short entry. I actually see a bullish outcome coming out of this now.. Nevertheless, I will chip in for a small short position at 57300. The risk is extremely low and price is likely to react at 57300. I will take quick profits on any downside move.

snapshot
Trade active
Short active at 57300
Comment
I AM NOW VERY BULLISH ON THE BRAZIL INDEX
bovespaBVSPibaaUSDBRL

Disclaimer