Current AR is ~$1.5.
~8% gain to next AR @ ~$1.6
$1.5 might be tough to overcome and so it might dip a bit more. The reason for this is because, it never had a candle close on the .386 fib. If it continues to dip, the idea will be scratched as the 2nd wave will appear to still be forming.
Remember, a short 2nd wave means a larger 4th wave for correction/consolidation.