📉 Bearish Context & Key Resistance Levels:
Major Resistance at 108.32
Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone.
Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance.
Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00
Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal.
A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone)
Significant buyer interest in this area.
If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur.
Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00
If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events.
A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025
Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD.
A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower.
If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue.
🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025
Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY).
A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness.
If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness.
Target 1: 102.00
Target 2: 100.00
Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play):
Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00
Target 1: 105.00
Target 2: 108.00
Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY.
The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend.
102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00.
🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Major Resistance at 108.32
Price previously rejected from this strong supply zone.
Moving averages (yellow & red lines) are acting as dynamic resistance.
Short-term Resistance at 106.00-107.00
Failed bullish attempt, leading to a strong reversal.
A break above this area is needed to shift momentum bullishly.
📈 Bullish Context & Key Support Levels:
Support at 102.00-101.50 (Demand Zone)
Significant buyer interest in this area.
If the price reaches this zone, a potential bounce could occur.
Deeper Support at 99.00-100.00
If 102.00 fails, the next demand level is in the high 90s, marking a critical long-term support.
📉 Current Market Outlook:
CAD/JPY is in a strong downtrend, consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
The price is testing key support areas, and further movement depends on upcoming economic events.
A potential bounce could occur at 102.00, but failure to hold could trigger further declines toward 99.00.
📰 Fundamental Analysis & Market Drivers
🔹 Bank of Canada (BoC) Interest Rate Decision – March 12, 2025
Expected rate cut from 3.00% to 2.75% → Bearish for CAD.
A dovish stance signals weakness in the Canadian economy, potentially pushing CAD/JPY lower.
If the BoC provides an aggressive rate cut or hints at further easing, the downtrend could continue.
🔹 Japan Current Account (January) – March 7, 2025
Expected at 370B JPY (significantly lower than previous 1077.3B JPY).
A lower-than-expected surplus may weaken JPY, slightly offsetting CAD weakness.
If JPY remains strong despite this data, CAD/JPY could fall further toward 101.50-100.00.
📈 Potential Trading Setups:
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 103.00, confirming further weakness.
Target 1: 102.00
Target 2: 100.00
Stop Loss: Above 104.50 to avoid volatility spikes.
🔼 Long Setup (Bullish Scenario - Retracement Play):
Entry: Strong bullish rejection from 102.00
Target 1: 105.00
Target 2: 108.00
Stop Loss: Below 101.50 to limit downside risk.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The BoC rate decision will likely be bearish for CAD, increasing downward pressure on CAD/JPY.
The Japan Current Account data could provide temporary support for JPY but is unlikely to fully reverse the trend.
102.00-101.50 is a key buying zone, while failure to hold could drive the pair toward 99.00-100.00.
🚨 Key Watch Zones: 102.00 Support & 108.00 Resistance – Strong moves expected!
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.