Since March 2020 the loonie has been in uptrend with ups and downs(as normal in this market) but from July 2024 it got a strong push back about 1442 pips in less than a month. I may be wrong but it was around that time Trump started to mention about the possible tariffs for Canada and seems the market reacted fast. Ok, after that the loonie managed to recover some of the losses but it didn't have enough momentum to break the 111.480 previous Support from May 24 and dropped again. In the chart I can see a formation of a upper TL acting as a dynamic resistance signaling a continuation downward move but also there is a lower TL acting as dynamic support but it was broken last week. Last Friday NY closed below the lower TL but still above the 106.096 previous Support. The last Friday candle shows me as a possible pullback to the upper TL but it closed weak even being a bullish close. I am expecting the price breaks the 106.226 level what if confirmed will open the path to 104.174 or/and even further. On the fundamentals side we have Canadian Net Change Employment and Unemployment Rate on Friday(7/02 @ 23:30 AEST) so be careful. Trade Safe.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.