Our forecast for Caterpillar suggests that the green wave [C] is currently being developed. We reckon with further price drops in the short term before the beige wave IV can conclude. The pending low should then initiate a trend reversal, which should enable an upward move above $402.16. However, in the context of our 35% probable alternative scenario, the trend would reverse earlier. In this case, the beige wave alt.III would form a new high above $402.16.